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UFC predictions & fighter analytics
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AJ Dobson

AJ Dobson

provisional · 4 UFC fights
7-3
Record
3 KO · 2 SUB · 2 DEC
Wins by method
WinLossLossWinLoss
Recent form
32
Age
185 cm
Height
193 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2024-03-23
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P39
Volume
P62
Striking Efficiency
P70
Range Sniper
P63
Kickboxing
P92
Clinch Striking
P36
Defensive Striking
P10
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P57
Pressure Wrestling
P21
Top Control
P35
Submission
P16
Anti-Wrestling
P60
Grappling Defense
P44
Scrambler
P48
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P12
Finisher
P35
Damage Resistance
P52
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P45
Pace
P22
Late Fighter
P7
GLOBAL
Versatility
P36
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2024-03-23
Striking
3.87
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
5.61
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
45%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
46%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.00
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.30
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
1.51
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
1.82
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
83%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
65%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
2:08
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.00
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head55%
Body15%
Leg30%
Position
Distance87%
Clinch9%
Ground4%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R271R354declining
TakedownsR1100R289R344declining
ControlR1100R249R3245increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
75%
Model correct (3/4)
—
Fighter wins when model favored
1/4
Fighter wins when model underdog
—
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2024-03-23
20.7%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-08-12
36.1%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-10-22
39.8%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-02-12
36.8%
Model · pick ✓
→