← UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Andre Muniz vs Edmen Shahbazyan
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10-04
50.5%
Model
31.1%
Market
3.10
Odds
+19.4
Edge (pp)
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
Style Matchup
established · 13 UFC fightsestablished · 13 fights
STRIKING
P10
Striking Initiative
P26
P6
Volume
P37
P36
Striking Efficiency
P63
P7
Range Sniper
P77
P72
Kickboxing
P44
P20
Clinch Striking
P67
P36
Defensive Striking
P14
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P97
Wrestling
P62
P93
Pressure Wrestling
P56
P80
Top Control
P47
P93
Submission
P31
P40
Anti-Wrestling
P31
P7
Grappling Defense
P33
P84
Scrambler
P64
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P3
Power
P96
P74
Finisher
P94
P41
Damage Resistance
P65
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P87
Fast Starter
P92
P52
Pace
P49
P8
Late Fighter
P7
GLOBAL
P53
Versatility
P37
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MunizShahbazyan
1.85Landed / min3.58
2.47Absorbed / min3.60
46%Accuracy48%
51%Defense49%
0.00KD / 150.85
0.18KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
MunizShahbazyan
4.29TD / 151.70
8.05TD att / 154.54
53%TD accuracy38%
33%TD defense66%
5:29Control / 152:53
1.25Sub att / 150.43
Targets
MunizShahbazyan
Head58%|67%
Body22%|25%
Leg20%|8%
Position
MunizShahbazyan
Distance85%|67%
Clinch5%|15%
Ground10%|17%
Ranking evolution Muniz Shahbazyan
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Andre Muniz
Shahbazyan comes in on a 2-fight run with recent knockout power and finishing momentum backing his hands. His takedown defense has been holding up, keeping fights standing, and both his defensive work and damage absorption have looked sharper of late. He last beat the No. 39-ranked opponent.
Edmen Shahbazyan
Muniz owns a deep 24-7 record across all organizations and a clear knack for dragging fights to the mat, where his grappling becomes the story. At southpaw he carries an 8 cm reach advantage, giving him length to work behind. His last win came over the No. 29-ranked opponent.
Matchup Read
The early rounds tilt toward Shahbazyan's power on the feet, where his knockout threat and improving defense meet Muniz's length and southpaw looks. As the fight wears on, Muniz's push to get it down grows in value, colliding head-on with Shahbazyan's takedown defense. If Muniz can't plant him on the mat, he's stuck exchanging in the phase where Shahbazyan's finishing is most dangerous. The takedown battle decides which fight this becomes.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Shahbazyan lands cleanly inside Muniz's 8 cm reach and southpaw stance before the grappling starts.
- Grappling: how often Muniz shoots and whether Shahbazyan's takedown defense keeps stuffing entries against the fence.
- If it hits the mat: whether Shahbazyan can scramble up or Muniz settles into his grappling game.