← UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Austin Vanderford vs Ramiz Brahimaj
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10-04
Austin VanderfordLow Data
69.1%
Model
68.6%
Market
1.40
Odds
+0.5
Edge (pp)
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
limited sample · 7 UFC fightslimited · 7 fights
STRIKING
P33
Striking Initiative
P1
P3
Volume
P5
P15
Striking Efficiency
P52
P1
Range Sniper
P61
P0
Kickboxing
P62
P38
Clinch Striking
P76
P45
Defensive Striking
P7
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P65
Wrestling
P67
P100
Pressure Wrestling
P46
P100
Top Control
P28
P40
Submission
P99
P41
Anti-Wrestling
P0
P52
Grappling Defense
P1
P37
Scrambler
P32
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P17
Power
P21
P38
Finisher
P99
P39
Damage Resistance
P44
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P79
Fast Starter
P79
P94
Pace
P11
—
Late Fighter
P28
GLOBAL
P36
Versatility
P23
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
VanderfordBrahimaj
4.23Landed / min2.14
0.54Absorbed / min3.81
75%Accuracy45%
74%Defense44%
0.00KD / 150.28
0.00KD abs / 150.28
Grappling / Wrestling
VanderfordBrahimaj
3.25TD / 151.99
6.51TD att / 154.83
50%TD accuracy41%
—TD defense47%
11:58Control / 152:50
1.63Sub att / 151.70
Targets
VanderfordBrahimaj
Head95%|79%
Body3%|16%
Leg3%|5%
Position
VanderfordBrahimaj
Distance8%|82%
Clinch0%|15%
Ground92%|3%
Ranking evolution Vanderford Brahimaj
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Austin Vanderford
Austin Vanderford brings sharp distance management and stand-up defense, backed by a slight edge in output and pressure. Once the fight hits the mat, his top control is a real asset, and he carries a durable chin plus a five-centimeter reach advantage. He's 12-2 overall and won his UFC debut, riding a two-fight streak.
Ramiz Brahimaj
Ramiz Brahimaj is dangerous on the ground, where his submission threat is the standout part of his game and has shown up in his recent work. At 12-5 overall and 4-3 in the UFC, he's gone 3/5 in his last five and enters on a two-fight streak.
Matchup Read
Vanderford carries the sharper matchup-specific tools, but Brahimaj's résumé of seven UFC fights against Vanderford's single appearance is the offsetting context. The central tension is Vanderford's top game versus Brahimaj's submission danger off his back: controlling from top puts him in range of the exact finishing threat Brahimaj thrives on. If Vanderford keeps it standing behind his range and defense, he sidesteps that risk; every scramble on the mat is where Brahimaj gets his opening.
What to Watch
- Striking: whether Vanderford uses his reach and defense to keep exchanges at his preferred distance.
- Grappling: if Vanderford takes top position, watch how tight his posture and control stay against submission attempts.
- Scrambles: every transition on the mat is a window for Brahimaj to attack a finish.
Key Uncertainty
With only one UFC appearance on Vanderford's record, there's limited high-level footage to gauge how his tools hold up against a submission threat like Brahimaj's inside the Octagon.