← UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Farid Basharat vs Chris Gutierrez
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10-04
67.6%
Model
75.1%
Market
1.28
Odds
-7.5
Edge (pp)
provisional · 4 UFC fightsprovisional · 4 fights
Style Matchup
established · 13 UFC fightsestablished · 13 fights
STRIKING
P33
Striking Initiative
P86
P23
Volume
P85
P48
Striking Efficiency
P97
P19
Range Sniper
P98
P57
Kickboxing
P98
P23
Clinch Striking
P1
P68
Defensive Striking
P99
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P91
Wrestling
P4
P90
Pressure Wrestling
P10
P96
Top Control
P4
P71
Submission
P4
P41
Anti-Wrestling
P51
P59
Grappling Defense
P48
P34
Scrambler
P38
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P2
Power
P68
P27
Finisher
P7
P68
Damage Resistance
P87
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P83
Fast Starter
P86
P85
Pace
P13
P24
Late Fighter
P86
GLOBAL
P83
Versatility
P30
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
BasharatGutierrez
3.33Landed / min4.61
2.80Absorbed / min2.67
50%Accuracy59%
60%Defense64%
0.00KD / 150.52
0.00KD abs / 150.09
Grappling / Wrestling
BasharatGutierrez
4.26TD / 150.17
10.36TD att / 150.95
41%TD accuracy18%
80%TD defense66%
6:11Control / 150:37
0.61Sub att / 150.00
Targets
BasharatGutierrez
Head55%|37%
Body19%|12%
Leg26%|52%
Position
BasharatGutierrez
Distance82%|96%
Clinch5%|2%
Ground12%|3%
Ranking evolution Basharat Gutierrez
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Farid Basharat
Farid Basharat comes in unbeaten at 13-0, 4-0 in the UFC, riding a 13-fight win streak with a last win over the No. 46-ranked opponent. His grappling drives the package: strong level changes to get it down and heavy top control once there, backed by a 10 cm reach advantage. His striking output and ground control have both been trending upward.
Chris Gutierrez
Chris Gutierrez is 22-6 overall and 10-3 in the UFC, winning 3 of his last 5, most recently over lower-ranked opposition, with his last loss coming against the No. 10-ranked opponent. His edge in this matchup is on the feet, where he holds a slight advantage in striking volume and pressure.
Matchup Read
Gutierrez brings the deeper, more tested UFC résumé, but Basharat owns the sharper matchup-specific tools. This splits cleanly by phase: if Gutierrez keeps it upright, his pressure and volume set the terms, and the reach gap matters less at his preferred striking range. The fight tilts the moment Basharat changes levels, where his entries and top control can nullify that striking and stack up minutes. Gutierrez needs to defend the takedown and get back to his feet to stay in his lane.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Basharat can convert his level changes into sustained top control or Gutierrez scrambles back up.
- Striking: whether Gutierrez's forward pressure and volume keep Basharat on the outside and honest at range.
- Finishing: whether Basharat threatens a stoppage from top position or the fight heads to the scorecards.