← UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Joe Pyfer vs Abus Magomedov
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10-04
67.5%
Model
66.7%
Market
1.44
Odds
+0.8
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
Style Matchup
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
STRIKING
P51
Striking Initiative
P30
P77
Volume
P25
P45
Striking Efficiency
P60
P86
Range Sniper
P43
P61
Kickboxing
P76
P13
Clinch Striking
P18
P65
Defensive Striking
P54
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P38
Wrestling
P83
P28
Pressure Wrestling
P77
P20
Top Control
P85
P52
Submission
P61
P42
Anti-Wrestling
P65
P45
Grappling Defense
P78
P18
Scrambler
P28
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P96
Power
P59
P88
Finisher
P65
P76
Damage Resistance
P30
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P79
Fast Starter
P73
P33
Pace
P46
P59
Late Fighter
P18
GLOBAL
P39
Versatility
P85
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
PyferMagomedov
3.79Landed / min3.21
3.34Absorbed / min3.68
42%Accuracy48%
56%Defense56%
1.08KD / 150.22
0.00KD abs / 150.44
Grappling / Wrestling
PyferMagomedov
1.08TD / 152.65
3.23TD att / 154.64
33%TD accuracy57%
67%TD defense100%
0:45Control / 153:45
0.54Sub att / 150.22
Targets
PyferMagomedov
Head65%|57%
Body27%|30%
Leg9%|13%
Position
PyferMagomedov
Distance91%|89%
Clinch2%|3%
Ground6%|7%
Ranking evolution Pyfer Magomedov
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Joe Pyfer
Joe Pyfer comes in on a two-fight run, his UFC ledger at 5-1 with four wins in his last five, the last one over the No. 20-ranked opponent. His most reliable traits here are the threat to end a fight before the judges and a gas tank that holds up as the rounds stack. He's held up well under fire lately.
Abus Magomedov
Abus Magomedov rides a three-fight streak with a deep 28-6 mark across all organizations. His main asset in this pairing is the ability to keep things standing and stuff level changes, with some of his own takedown offense to draw on. An eight-centimeter reach advantage and recent finishing form round out his case.
Matchup Read
Pyfer's push to drag the fight to the mat meets Magomedov's takedown defense head-on, and that collision likely sets the tone. If Magomedov keeps it upright, the extra reach lets him work from range, where Pyfer has to close the gap through danger. Pyfer's finishing threat keeps early rounds live, but his cardio advantage only pays off if the fight travels into later rounds rather than ending on Magomedov's terms.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Pyfer can plant Magomedov on the mat or his entries get stuffed at the fence.
- Early striking: whether Pyfer closes the reach gap or eats shots walking in.
- Late rounds: if the fight goes long, watch whether Pyfer's pace starts to tell.