AIDvalishvili brings the tested résumé and the push to get this to the mat, while Sandhagen owns the sharper f…

63.9%

Model

76.4%

Market

1.26

Odds

-12.6

Edge (pp)

Merab Dvalishvili

DEC

63.9%36.1%

Cory Sandhagen

PRESSURE WRESTLER

HIGH-PACE GRINDER · GRAPPLING CONTROLLER

Wrestling Pressure · Wrestling

established · 15 UFC fightsestablished · 15 fights

Style Matchup

VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER

Volume · Initiative

established · 15 UFC fightsestablished · 15 fights

STRIKING

P83

Striking Initiative

P90

P57

Volume

P83

P18

Striking Efficiency

P68

Range Sniper

P48

P15

Kickboxing

P72

P69

Clinch Striking

P48

Defensive Striking

P64

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P97

Wrestling

P48

P99

Pressure Wrestling

P51

P96

Top Control

P66

P31

Submission

P39

P53

Anti-Wrestling

P89

P80

Grappling Defense

P61

P25

Scrambler

P69

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P12

Power

P53

Finisher

P41

P95

Damage Resistance

P97

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P82

Fast Starter

P70

P99

Pace

P90

P27

Late Fighter

P55

GLOBAL

P79

Versatility

P79

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

DvalishviliSandhagen

4.31Landed / min5.06

2.48Absorbed / min3.34

42%Accuracy45%

56%Defense57%

0.06KD / 150.29

0.06KD abs / 150.07

Grappling / Wrestling

DvalishviliSandhagen

5.84TD / 151.28

16.38TD att / 153.71

36%TD accuracy35%

83%TD defense63%

5:33Control / 153:23

0.30Sub att / 150.29

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Dvalishvili Sandhagen

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Merab Dvalishvili

Merab Dvalishvili rides a 13-fight win streak and beat the No. 2-ranked opponent in his last outing, going 5/5 in his last five UFC fights. His clearest asset is getting the fight to the mat, backed by rising striking volume and consistently improving distance management. His output has held steady without any recent dip.

Cory Sandhagen

Cory Sandhagen carries genuine finishing ability and recent knockout power, the traits that make him dangerous in any exchange. His defensive work has been sharpening lately, and he last beat the No. 8-ranked opponent. At bantamweight he brings length, standing 13 cm taller with a reach advantage.

Matchup Read

Dvalishvili brings the tested résumé and the push to get this to the mat, while Sandhagen owns the sharper finishing tools if it stays standing. That collision defines the fight: Merab's level changes against Sandhagen's length and improving defense on the feet. If Dvalishvili strings takedowns together and controls, he neutralizes Cory's power; if Sandhagen keeps distance and defends the entries, his finishing threat stays live in every round.

What to Watch

Grappling: whether Merab's level changes get through or Sandhagen keeps stuffing them to reset on the feet.
Early striking: how well Cory uses his reach to keep distance and land power before Merab closes.
Late rounds: whether Dvalishvili's volume and pace start stacking control time as the fight wears on.

Merab Dvalishvili vs Cory Sandhagen