← UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Punahele Soriano vs Nikolay Veretennikov
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10-04
79.1%
Model
65.6%
Market
1.47
Odds
+13.5
Edge (pp)
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P85
Striking Initiative
P17
P64
Volume
P29
P78
Striking Efficiency
P90
P66
Range Sniper
P54
P13
Kickboxing
P92
P28
Clinch Striking
P86
P11
Defensive Striking
P12
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P52
Wrestling
P27
P42
Pressure Wrestling
P19
P57
Top Control
P3
P16
Submission
P6
P16
Anti-Wrestling
P23
P5
Grappling Defense
P33
P26
Scrambler
P58
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P93
Power
P29
P82
Finisher
P55
P59
Damage Resistance
P49
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P89
Fast Starter
P16
P70
Pace
P5
P41
Late Fighter
P85
GLOBAL
P29
Versatility
P15
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
SorianoVeretennikov
5.37Landed / min2.83
4.17Absorbed / min3.39
56%Accuracy51%
48%Defense42%
1.18KD / 150.00
0.20KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
SorianoVeretennikov
1.18TD / 150.77
2.35TD att / 153.06
50%TD accuracy25%
38%TD defense69%
2:57Control / 151:02
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
SorianoVeretennikov
Head78%|50%
Body19%|41%
Leg3%|9%
Position
SorianoVeretennikov
Distance47%|76%
Clinch7%|18%
Ground46%|6%
Ranking evolution Soriano Veretennikov
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Punahele Soriano
Soriano rides a two-fight winning streak with real pop in his hands, his knockout threat and finishing rate both trending up recently. His striking volume and work from top position have been climbing as well, and his last win came against the No. 44-ranked opponent.
Nikolay Veretennikov
Veretennikov holds a 13-6 mark across all organizations and defends takedowns well, keeping fights standing where he wants them. When he does hit the mat he scrambles back to his feet effectively, and his cardio holds up deep into the fight. He also carries a 5 cm reach advantage.
Matchup Read
Soriano brings the heavier UFC track record and rising power, but Veretennikov owns the sharper matchup-specific tools to blunt it. Soriano's climbing top control runs straight into Veretennikov's takedown defense and get-up ability, so grounding him won't come cheap. That likely keeps this standing, where Soriano's power meets Veretennikov's reach and length. If it drags late, the cardio edge shifts toward Veretennikov.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Soriano can plant Veretennikov on the mat and keep him there, or gets shrugged off and reversed to the feet.
- Early striking: does Soriano close the 5 cm reach gap and land power inside, or eat range shots from the taller man.
- Late rounds: if the fight extends, watch whether Veretennikov's pace holds while Soriano's output dips.