← UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Fares Ziam vs Nazim Sadykhov
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12-06
73.9%
Model
55.4%
Market
1.74
Odds
+18.5
Edge (pp)
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 4 UFC fightsprovisional · 4 fights
STRIKING
P42
Striking Initiative
P83
P31
Volume
P82
P77
Striking Efficiency
P93
P29
Range Sniper
P92
P71
Kickboxing
P81
P70
Clinch Striking
P95
P91
Defensive Striking
P40
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P61
Wrestling
P32
P63
Pressure Wrestling
P9
P50
Top Control
P20
P41
Submission
P52
P40
Anti-Wrestling
P73
P55
Grappling Defense
P51
P97
Scrambler
P50
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P29
Power
P86
P24
Finisher
P92
P80
Damage Resistance
P37
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P40
Fast Starter
P17
P55
Pace
P29
P4
Late Fighter
P25
GLOBAL
P85
Versatility
P59
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ZiamSadykhov
2.85Landed / min5.74
1.62Absorbed / min5.41
52%Accuracy52%
65%Defense53%
0.12KD / 150.48
0.00KD abs / 150.97
Grappling / Wrestling
ZiamSadykhov
1.62TD / 150.48
3.99TD att / 150.97
41%TD accuracy50%
70%TD defense73%
3:33Control / 151:36
0.25Sub att / 150.48
Targets
ZiamSadykhov
Head65%|63%
Body20%|26%
Leg15%|11%
Position
ZiamSadykhov
Distance70%|73%
Clinch12%|25%
Ground17%|2%
Ranking evolution Ziam Sadykhov
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Fares Ziam
Fares Ziam works behind sharp distance management and a reliable stand-up defense, using a frame that runs 15 cm longer in reach to keep exchanges at his range. He owns a durable chin and gets back to his feet well when taken down. He rides a 5-fight win streak, 5/5 in his last five UFC outings, and has tested himself against tougher competition.
Nazim Sadykhov
Nazim Sadykhov brings serious finishing ability, with a run of stoppages fueling an 11-fight win streak and a 4-0 UFC start. His recent form is built on ending fights before the judges rather than grinding out decisions, and that closing power stays live throughout.
Matchup Read
Standing at range favors Ziam, whose reach and stand-up defense let him manage distance and pick his moments, while the danger swings toward Sadykhov the instant exchanges get close and his finishing power comes into play. The orthodox-southpaw mismatch reshapes the angles both work from. If Sadykhov gets him hurt or grounded, Ziam's chin and ability to scramble back up become his release valve; if Ziam keeps it long, he dictates the pace.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Ziam keeps Sadykhov at the end of his reach or Sadykhov closes the gap to load up.
- When it's hurt: how quickly Ziam recovers or gets back upright once Sadykhov finds a finishing sequence.
- Late rounds: whether Sadykhov's closing power stays live deep or Ziam's range work banks the scorecards.