← UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12-06
93.5%
Model
87.5%
Market
1.10
Odds
+6.0
Edge (pp)
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
STRIKING
P77
Striking Initiative
P0
P64
Volume
P0
P74
Striking Efficiency
P14
P60
Range Sniper
P11
P1
Kickboxing
P32
P73
Clinch Striking
P65
P28
Defensive Striking
P2
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P46
Wrestling
P22
P58
Pressure Wrestling
P79
P36
Top Control
P87
P8
Submission
P57
P8
Anti-Wrestling
P36
P60
Grappling Defense
P20
P35
Scrambler
P35
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P99
Power
P4
P77
Finisher
P40
P45
Damage Resistance
P28
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P79
Fast Starter
P5
P82
Pace
P22
—
Late Fighter
P35
GLOBAL
P36
Versatility
P10
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
Abdul-MalikTrocoli
5.21Landed / min1.30
2.78Absorbed / min6.14
55%Accuracy46%
39%Defense23%
1.35KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 151.08
Grappling / Wrestling
Abdul-MalikTrocoli
1.35TD / 150.00
4.04TD att / 158.67
33%TD accuracy0%
89%TD defense0%
2:44Control / 155:20
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
Abdul-MalikTrocoli
Head95%|44%
Body5%|44%
Leg0%|11%
Position
Abdul-MalikTrocoli
Distance19%|78%
Clinch24%|22%
Ground57%|0%
Ranking evolution Abdul-Malik Trocoli
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Mansur Abdul-Malik brings pressure and volume on the feet with sound distance management and stand-up defense. He keeps fights standing when he wants to and carries real finishing power, riding a 9-0 record and a nine-fight win streak with a granite chin backing it up.
Antonio Trocoli
Antonio Trocoli owns a 13-5 mark across all organizations and stands 8 cm taller, giving him a natural height and length advantage inside the cage. He's 0-2 in the UFC and last competed 12.9 months ago against modest regional opposition.
Matchup Read
Abdul-Malik's pressure and defensive striking meet Trocoli's 8 cm height edge, the central question on the feet: whether Trocoli can use his length to keep Abdul-Malik at the end of his strikes, or whether the forward volume closes that space. Abdul-Malik's takedown defense points to the exchanges staying standing, where his finishing power becomes the deciding factor if he lands clean.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Trocoli can plant his jab and use his height to keep Abdul-Malik outside, or gets walked down.
- Grappling: if Trocoli looks to change levels to escape the striking, watch whether Abdul-Malik stuffs it and keeps it standing.
- Damage: how Trocoli holds up once Abdul-Malik starts landing his heavier shots in exchanges.
Key Uncertainty
Both men carry only two UFC fights, and Trocoli returns from a 12.9-month layoff, so the reads on how each performs at this level rest on a thin recent sample.