← UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Jacob Malkoun vs Torrez Finney
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01-31
Jacob MalkounLow Data
56.8%
Model
58.3%
Market
1.65
Odds
-1.5
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 7 UFC fightslimited · 7 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P52
Striking Initiative
P0
P18
Volume
P0
P56
Striking Efficiency
P0
P10
Range Sniper
P0
P10
Kickboxing
P0
P11
Clinch Striking
P55
P24
Defensive Striking
P25
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P98
Wrestling
P89
P99
Pressure Wrestling
P94
P100
Top Control
P100
P16
Submission
P10
P43
Anti-Wrestling
P46
P17
Grappling Defense
P58
P35
Scrambler
P37
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P8
Power
P38
P8
Finisher
P46
P40
Damage Resistance
P41
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P83
Fast Starter
P65
P97
Pace
P35
P22
Late Fighter
P73
GLOBAL
P74
Versatility
P14
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MalkounFinney
3.86Landed / min0.27
2.48Absorbed / min1.53
56%Accuracy50%
53%Defense41%
0.00KD / 150.00
0.21KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
MalkounFinney
6.62TD / 158.00
15.60TD att / 1517.00
42%TD accuracy47%
20%TD defense—
8:32Control / 1513:16
0.43Sub att / 150.00
Targets
MalkounFinney
Head90%|50%
Body8%|50%
Leg1%|0%
Position
MalkounFinney
Distance59%|25%
Clinch4%|0%
Ground37%|75%
Ranking evolution Malkoun Finney
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Jacob Malkoun
Jacob Malkoun brings the busier, higher-pressure hands, backed by sharper distance control and stand-up defense. On the mat his strength is getting back up, scrambling out of bottom position to return to his feet. He's also tested against better competition, having beaten the No. 47-ranked opponent, with a 4-3 UFC record.
Torrez Finney
Torrez Finney arrives unbeaten at 11-0, riding an 11-fight win streak and fresh off a winning UFC debut. His game centers on top control once he puts opponents down, a real threat to finish before the scorecards, and a tank that holds up late. He also owns a 5 cm reach advantage.
Matchup Read
Standing favors Malkoun's volume and cleaner distance work; the floor swings toward Finney's top control and finishing threat. The central question is where the fight lives. If Malkoun keeps it at range and uses his get-up ability to deny sustained top time, his output takes over. If Finney closes the gap and pins him, his control and late-fight pace compound, and the longer the grappling stretches run, the more his finishing danger grows.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Malkoun pops back to his feet quickly or gets held under Finney's top pressure for extended stretches.
- Early striking: how often Malkoun wins the range battle against Finney's 5 cm reach advantage.
- Late rounds: whether Malkoun's pace holds up as Finney's cardio becomes a bigger factor deep in the fight.
Key Uncertainty
Reading this cleanly is limited by Malkoun's 22-month layoff and the fact that Finney has only one UFC fight on record, leaving his level against this tier of opposition largely unproven.