← UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Alberto Montes vs Ricky Turcios
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03-07
Alberto MontesLow Data
61.2%
Model
62.0%
Market
1.56
Odds
-0.8
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P93
Volume
P82
Striking Efficiency
P28
Range Sniper
P21
Kickboxing
P29
Clinch Striking
P85
Defensive Striking
P15
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P38
Pressure Wrestling
P51
Top Control
P31
Submission
P24
Anti-Wrestling
P38
Grappling Defense
P17
Scrambler
P83
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P20
Finisher
P2
Damage Resistance
P44
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P8
Pace
P85
Late Fighter
P87
GLOBAL
Versatility
P8
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MontesTurcios
—Landed / min4.16
—Absorbed / min3.64
—Accuracy41%
—Defense48%
—KD / 150.22
—KD abs / 150.45
Grappling / Wrestling
MontesTurcios
—TD / 151.11
—TD att / 154.45
—TD accuracy25%
—TD defense44%
—Control / 152:35
—Sub att / 150.45
Targets
MontesTurcios
Head—|70%
Body—|16%
Leg—|14%
Position
MontesTurcios
Distance—|67%
Clinch—|16%
Ground—|16%
Ranking evolution Montes Turcios
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Alberto Montes
Alberto Montes rides a 3-fight win streak into his UFC debut with an 11-1 mark across all organizations. His most consistent threats come on the mat, where he carries real finishing danger, and he owns the ability to close a fight out before the scorecards rather than leaning on the judges.
Ricky Turcios
Ricky Turcios brings the tested résumé, a 2-3 UFC record and 12-7 overall, with proven mileage against a sharper level of competition. He also holds a slight physical advantage here, standing about 5 cm taller with 5 cm more reach, giving him length to work behind. He last fought 13.6 months ago.
Matchup Read
Turcios brings the tested UFC-level experience, but Montes owns the sharper finishing tools in this matchup. The fight can be decided by whether Turcios uses his length to keep exchanges at range or Montes closes the gap and drags it to the mat, where his ground finishing threat becomes the central danger. If Montes ties him up and gets top position, his path to a stoppage opens. Turcios wants space and distance to keep it upright.
What to Watch
- Distance: whether Turcios uses his 5 cm reach to keep Montes at the end of his punches or gets crowded.
- Grappling: how often Montes changes levels and whether he can hold top position long enough to hunt a finish.
- Late rounds: whether Turcios' sharper level of prior opposition shows in the deeper waters if no finish comes.
Key Uncertainty
Montes arrives without any UFC history to gauge him against this level, while Turcios steps in after 13.6 months out, leaving both fighters' current form against top competition harder to read.