← UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Raul Rosas Jr. vs Rob Font
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03-07
69.9%
Model
65.5%
Market
1.47
Odds
+4.4
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P2
Striking Initiative
P94
P2
Volume
P98
P3
Striking Efficiency
P87
P10
Range Sniper
P87
P3
Kickboxing
P84
P18
Clinch Striking
P27
P34
Defensive Striking
P80
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P91
Wrestling
P20
P92
Pressure Wrestling
P15
P89
Top Control
P10
P82
Submission
P42
P66
Anti-Wrestling
P33
P7
Grappling Defense
P13
P96
Scrambler
P42
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P39
Power
P49
P63
Finisher
P26
P65
Damage Resistance
P75
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P96
Fast Starter
P39
P69
Pace
P57
P41
Late Fighter
P18
GLOBAL
P11
Versatility
P49
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
Jr.Font
1.55Landed / min5.36
1.52Absorbed / min3.70
44%Accuracy45%
53%Defense57%
0.27KD / 150.40
0.00KD abs / 150.29
Grappling / Wrestling
Jr.Font
4.29TD / 150.74
10.98TD att / 152.45
39%TD accuracy30%
0%TD defense44%
8:07Control / 151:12
1.07Sub att / 150.34
Targets
Jr.Font
Head64%|76%
Body15%|17%
Leg21%|7%
Position
Jr.Font
Distance64%|89%
Clinch1%|7%
Ground34%|4%
Ranking evolution Jr. Font
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Raul Rosas Jr.
Raul Rosas Jr. rides a four-fight win streak and sits 5-1 in the UFC, 11-1 overall, with four wins in his last five UFC outings. His route runs through the mat: strong takedown entries, top control that's been trending upward, and real finishing ability to close before the judges. His striking output has also been rising.
Rob Font
Rob Font brings a long résumé at 12-8 in the UFC and 22-9 overall, with a recent win over the No. 37-ranked opponent. His game is built around high-volume, pressuring striking, backed by a reach advantage and a frame that lets him work at range, plus a strong base for keeping the fight standing.
Matchup Read
Font carries the deeper track record and the striking that shapes exchanges at range, but Rosas owns the sharper matchup-specific tools if he can close distance. The central question is grappling: Rosas' takedown push meets Font's ability to stuff entries and stay on his feet. If Font keeps it standing behind volume and his 10 cm reach, he dictates. If Rosas gets top position, his control and finishing threat take over.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Rosas' level changes turn into completed takedowns or Font sprawls and resets to open space.
- Early striking: whether Font uses his reach to keep Rosas at the end of his punches or gets pressured into the clinch.
- Late rounds: whether Font's output holds or Rosas' rising top control starts stacking minutes on the mat.