AIMiller's vast experience meets Gordon's sharper matchup-specific tools. On the feet, Gordon's pressure and r…

66.3%

Model

72.8%

Market

1.32

Odds

-6.5

Edge (pp)

Jared Gordon

66.3%33.7%

Jim Miller

SUB

HIGH-PACE GRINDER

Pace · Top Control · Wrestling Pressure

established · 16 UFC fightsestablished · 16 fights

Style Matchup

SUBMISSION HUNTER

Submission

established · 45 UFC fightsestablished · 45 fights

STRIKING

P88

Striking Initiative

P15

P67

Volume

P24

P84

Striking Efficiency

P21

P50

Range Sniper

P27

P54

Kickboxing

P40

P65

Clinch Striking

P56

P40

Defensive Striking

P65

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P64

Wrestling

P61

P90

Pressure Wrestling

P43

P89

Top Control

P45

P14

Submission

P97

P80

Anti-Wrestling

P26

P45

Grappling Defense

P10

P79

Scrambler

P73

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P34

Power

P19

P11

Finisher

P71

P47

Damage Resistance

P98

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P62

Fast Starter

P84

P95

Pace

P31

P91

Late Fighter

P10

GLOBAL

P93

Versatility

P39

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

GordonMiller

5.69Landed / min2.95

4.12Absorbed / min3.43

54%Accuracy42%

55%Defense57%

0.17KD / 150.21

0.25KD abs / 150.10

Grappling / Wrestling

GordonMiller

1.83TD / 151.52

5.49TD att / 153.41

33%TD accuracy44%

60%TD defense50%

5:14Control / 153:08

0.00Sub att / 151.76

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Gordon Miller

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Jared Gordon

Jared Gordon brings forward pressure and recent knockout power, backed by a workmanlike volume game on the feet. Once the fight hits the mat, his top control has been trending upward and gives him something to build on. His last win came against the No. 49-ranked opponent.

Jim Miller

Jim Miller carries the deeper résumé at 38-19 overall, with the standout threat being his finishing ability on the ground. He's absorbed damage well in recent outings and works from southpaw with an 8 cm reach advantage. His last loss came against lower-ranked opposition.

Matchup Read

Miller's vast experience meets Gordon's sharper matchup-specific tools. On the feet, Gordon's pressure and recent power run into Miller's longer frame and durability, so his forward volume has to get inside that reach. The ground is the real crossroads: Gordon's top control and rising ground work could feed straight into Miller's submission threat off his back, making every passing attempt a gamble against a dangerous guard.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Gordon can close the 8 cm reach gap and land his power, or Miller keeps him at the end of punches from southpaw.
Grappling: if Gordon commits to top position, watch whether he stays tight or exposes himself to Miller's submissions from below.
Across three rounds: whether Gordon's pressure stays effective against a durable opponent who hasn't been easy to hurt recently.

Key Uncertainty

Miller comes in after 12.9 months out of competition, a longer-than-usual gap that adds some question marks to how he'll perform, though its actual impact can't be assumed in advance.

Jared Gordon vs Jim Miller