AIBahamondes' length and pressure-heavy volume run straight into Musayev's tighter distance management and sta…

64.8%

Model

70.9%

Market

1.36

Odds

-6.1

Edge (pp)

Ignacio Bahamondes

64.8%35.2%

Tofiq Musayev

DEC

VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER

DISTANCE KICKBOXER

Volume · Initiative

established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights

Style Matchup

MIXED PROFILE

provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights

STRIKING

P98

Striking Initiative

P11

P99

Volume

P77

Striking Efficiency

P87

Range Sniper

P89

Kickboxing

P48

P18

Clinch Striking

P56

P63

Defensive Striking

P53

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

Wrestling

P29

P17

Pressure Wrestling

P16

Top Control

P38

Submission

P10

P28

Anti-Wrestling

P66

Grappling Defense

Scrambler

P34

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P83

Power

P38

P65

Finisher

P59

P92

Damage Resistance

P38

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P66

Fast Starter

P52

Pace

P62

Late Fighter

—

GLOBAL

P25

Versatility

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

BahamondesMusayev

6.37Landed / min0.44

4.46Absorbed / min0.44

45%Accuracy33%

55%Defense71%

0.62KD / 150.00

0.00KD abs / 150.00

Grappling / Wrestling

BahamondesMusayev

0.00TD / 150.00

1.24TD att / 150.00

0%TD accuracy—

70%TD defense40%

1:00Control / 150:39

0.47Sub att / 150.00

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Bahamondes Musayev

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Ignacio Bahamondes

Ignacio Bahamondes fights at 6-3 in the UFC and 18-6 overall, leaning on high output and forward pressure in the striking game. He carries a substantial reach and frame advantage, and his recent work has shown a live submission threat to complement the volume.

Tofiq Musayev

Tofiq Musayev arrives 22-6 across all organizations after dropping his UFC debut. His striking volume has been trending upward, and his sharper distance management and stand-up defense give him a way to fight cleanly at range. His recent form has held steady without decline.

Matchup Read

Bahamondes' length and pressure-heavy volume run straight into Musayev's tighter distance management and stand-up defense, and that exchange sets the tone. If Bahamondes uses his 15 cm reach to keep Musayev at the end of strikes, his output stacks up; if Musayev closes the gap cleanly, his defensive sharpness neutralizes the length. Bahamondes also brings a recent submission threat, which raises the stakes if exchanges hit the mat.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Bahamondes plants Musayev on the end of his jab or Musayev works inside the reach to land clean.
Grappling: any time the fight hits the floor, watch Bahamondes hunt for the submission that's been part of his recent work.
Distance battle: how well Musayev's defense holds up against sustained forward pressure over time.

Key Uncertainty

Musayev has just a single UFC fight on record, so how his tools translate against this level of pressure and length is harder to read than his broader résumé alone suggests.

Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev