← UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Magomed Tuchalov vs Brendson Ribeiro
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07-25
Magomed TuchalovLow Data
62.2%
Model
85.2%
Market
1.13
Odds
-23.0
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
limited sample · 7 UFC fightslimited · 7 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P4
Volume
P27
Striking Efficiency
P28
Range Sniper
P74
Kickboxing
P67
Clinch Striking
P12
Defensive Striking
P40
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P38
Pressure Wrestling
P5
Top Control
P1
Submission
P74
Anti-Wrestling
P32
Grappling Defense
P4
Scrambler
P55
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P53
Finisher
P91
Damage Resistance
P17
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P0
Pace
P1
Late Fighter
P36
GLOBAL
Versatility
P16
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
TuchalovRibeiro
—Landed / min2.63
—Absorbed / min3.81
—Accuracy42%
—Defense51%
—KD / 150.31
—KD abs / 150.61
Grappling / Wrestling
TuchalovRibeiro
—TD / 150.92
—TD att / 152.14
—TD accuracy43%
—TD defense21%
—Control / 150:41
—Sub att / 150.61
Targets
TuchalovRibeiro
Head—|53%
Body—|22%
Leg—|25%
Position
TuchalovRibeiro
Distance—|97%
Clinch—|2%
Ground—|1%
Ranking evolution Tuchalov Ribeiro
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Magomed Tuchalov
Tuchalov arrives on a 6-0 run across all organizations, unbeaten so far and carrying real finishing power, the kind of fighter who looks to close before the scorecards. He also hasn't been stopped in his recent fights, giving him a measure of durability going into his first UFC appearance.
Brendson Ribeiro
Ribeiro holds a 17-10 record overall with a 2-5 mark in the UFC, two wins in his last 5 Octagon appearances. His most meaningful weapon here is a live submission threat in recent outings, and at eight centimeters of reach advantage he owns the longer frame in this pairing.
Matchup Read
Tuchalov brings the unbeaten record and finishing pop, while Ribeiro owns the sharper matchup-specific tool: his submission threat. That makes the ground the key tension. Tuchalov's aggression in chasing a finish can walk him into Ribeiro's offense off his back or in scrambles. Ribeiro's extra reach shapes the striking space at distance, so how Tuchalov closes that gap without exposing his neck matters. Over three rounds, the question is whether the finish or the submission arrives first.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Tuchalov's pursuit of a finish leaves him open to Ribeiro's submission attempts on the mat.
- Early striking: how Tuchalov handles the eight-centimeter reach gap when closing distance on Ribeiro.
- Finishing window: whether Tuchalov can force a stoppage before the fight drifts into the later rounds.
Key Uncertainty
Tuchalov is making his UFC debut with no Octagon history to draw on, so how his unbeaten record and finishing translate against this level of competition remains the main open question.