← UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Daniel Marcos vs Miles Johns
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11-08
50.2%
Model
63.4%
Market
1.52
Odds
-13.2
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
established · 10 UFC fightsestablished · 10 fights
STRIKING
P57
Striking Initiative
P31
P62
Volume
P49
P90
Striking Efficiency
P58
P91
Range Sniper
P49
P88
Kickboxing
P78
P77
Clinch Striking
P11
P81
Defensive Striking
P100
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P53
Wrestling
P34
P60
Pressure Wrestling
P69
P52
Top Control
P48
P2
Submission
P14
P25
Anti-Wrestling
P98
P62
Grappling Defense
P93
P23
Scrambler
P62
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P78
Power
P29
P13
Finisher
P2
P78
Damage Resistance
P51
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P58
Fast Starter
P10
P37
Pace
P38
P63
Late Fighter
P77
GLOBAL
P83
Versatility
P85
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MarcosJohns
4.49Landed / min3.27
3.89Absorbed / min2.98
53%Accuracy43%
60%Defense68%
0.45KD / 150.23
0.00KD abs / 150.23
Grappling / Wrestling
MarcosJohns
1.34TD / 151.02
2.90TD att / 154.76
46%TD accuracy21%
85%TD defense86%
2:32Control / 152:12
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
MarcosJohns
Head62%|77%
Body20%|12%
Leg18%|10%
Position
MarcosJohns
Distance85%|94%
Clinch13%|5%
Ground1%|1%
Ranking evolution Marcos Johns
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Daniel Marcos
Daniel Marcos comes in unbeaten at 17-1, 4-1 in the UFC with four wins in his last five. His defensive work has been trending upward lately, and he's shown output-based pressure on the feet along with the ability to close a fight before the scorecards. He owns the stronger recent result against quality opposition.
Miles Johns
Miles Johns sits at 16-4 overall and 6-4 in the UFC, with three wins in his last five. His most notable tools here are getting back to his feet from underneath and posing a finishing threat once the fight hits the mat, complemented by sharper distance management and stand-up defense.
Matchup Read
Marcos brings the better recent form against tested opposition, but Johns owns some of the sharper matchup-specific tools. On the feet, Marcos's pressure and volume run into Johns's cleaner distance control, so the striking hinges on whether Marcos can crowd him or Johns keeps it at range. If it goes to the mat, Johns is dangerous both in scrambling back up and as a finishing threat, which raises the risk for Marcos in any ground exchange.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Marcos closes distance and forces exchanges, or Johns keeps him at the end of his shots.
- Ground exchanges: if the fight hits the mat, watch how quickly Johns scrambles back to his feet.
- Late rounds: whether Marcos's pressure keeps building output or Johns steers it into cleaner, lower-volume trades.