AIBarcelos' forward pressure and volume meet Simon's range control and stand-up defense, and how that battle a…

63.2%

Model

61.7%

Market

1.56

Odds

+1.5

Edge (pp)

63.2%36.8%

DEC

Top Control · Wrestling

established · 15 UFC fightsestablished · 15 fights

Style Matchup

GRAPPLING CONTROLLER

Top Control · Wrestling

established · 13 UFC fightsestablished · 13 fights

STRIKING

P11

Striking Initiative

P57

P11

Volume

P43

P28

Striking Efficiency

P80

P26

Range Sniper

P63

P46

Kickboxing

P55

P45

Clinch Striking

P35

P72

Defensive Striking

P72

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P95

Wrestling

P74

P90

Pressure Wrestling

P74

P90

Top Control

P80

P49

Submission

P45

P87

Anti-Wrestling

P47

P93

Grappling Defense

P97

P68

Scrambler

P24

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P54

Power

P61

P12

Finisher

P24

P44

Damage Resistance

P77

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P71

Fast Starter

P70

P64

Pace

P77

P72

Late Fighter

P87

GLOBAL

P94

Versatility

P99

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

SimonBarcelos

2.91Landed / min4.87

3.83Absorbed / min4.40

44%Accuracy53%

61%Defense61%

0.40KD / 150.45

0.32KD abs / 150.18

Grappling / Wrestling

SimonBarcelos

4.28TD / 152.33

10.99TD att / 157.00

39%TD accuracy33%

77%TD defense86%

4:46Control / 153:40

0.32Sub att / 150.63

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Simon Barcelos

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Ricky Simon

Ricky Simon rides a two-fight winning streak with 22-6 across all organizations and a 10-5 UFC mark. His striking volume has been climbing lately, and he carries genuine knockout power along with steady recent output. He manages range well behind a five-centimeter reach advantage and can put opponents on the mat and hold top position.

Raoni Barcelos

Raoni Barcelos brings a three-fight winning streak, most recently over the No. 32-ranked opponent, and sits at 20-5 overall, 9-4 in the UFC with three wins in his last five. His defense has tightened up recently, and he pushes a steady, pressuring pace on the feet.

Matchup Read

Barcelos' forward pressure and volume meet Simon's range control and stand-up defense, and how that battle at distance resolves shapes the fight. Simon's reach and knockout power give him danger on the counter as Barcelos closes ground, while Barcelos' recent defensive tightening matters against that power. If exchanges get sloppy, Simon can change levels and lean on his top control to steal rounds on the mat.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Barcelos can walk Simon down and close the reach gap, or eats counters coming in.
Grappling: if Simon shoots when pressured and whether he can pin Barcelos and hold top position.
Late rounds: whether Barcelos' pace keeps building or Simon's power stays a live threat as the fight wears on.

Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos