← UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Steven Koslow vs Chad Anheliger
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10-17
Steven KoslowLow Data
58.9%
Model
50.1%
Market
1.92
Odds
+8.7
Edge (pp)
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
STRIKING
P0
Striking Initiative
P52
P0
Volume
P56
P4
Striking Efficiency
P34
P6
Range Sniper
P49
P17
Kickboxing
P40
P54
Clinch Striking
P70
P14
Defensive Striking
P57
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P82
Wrestling
P31
P99
Pressure Wrestling
P30
P57
Top Control
P19
P68
Submission
P38
P8
Anti-Wrestling
P11
P2
Grappling Defense
P2
P98
Scrambler
P57
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P0
Power
P62
P69
Finisher
P55
P39
Damage Resistance
P75
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
—
Fast Starter
P5
P19
Pace
P27
P49
Late Fighter
P91
GLOBAL
P10
Versatility
P10
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
KoslowAnheliger
0.77Landed / min3.11
3.73Absorbed / min2.90
38%Accuracy44%
40%Defense54%
0.00KD / 150.41
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
KoslowAnheliger
5.28TD / 150.82
9.50TD att / 152.25
56%TD accuracy36%
—TD defense27%
4:55Control / 151:53
1.06Sub att / 150.41
Targets
KoslowAnheliger
Head73%|69%
Body9%|14%
Leg18%|18%
Position
KoslowAnheliger
Distance73%|76%
Clinch9%|13%
Ground18%|11%
Ranking evolution Koslow Anheliger
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Steven Koslow
Steven Koslow carries a 6-1 mark across all organizations, dropping his UFC debut to modest regional opposition. His path runs through grappling: he can drag the fight to the mat and hunt finishes once there, and that ground threat pairs with a broader ability to close a fight before the judges. A 13 cm reach advantage gives him length to work with standing.
Chad Anheliger
Chad Anheliger is 12-8 overall and 2-3 in the UFC, winning two of his last five there. His strengths lean on endurance and output: he holds a clear edge in gas tank deep into the fight, with slight advantages in striking volume and pressure plus distance management and stand-up defense. He is 10 years the older fighter here.
Matchup Read
Anheliger brings the longer tested résumé, but Koslow owns the sharper matchup-specific tools once the fight hits the mat. The fight likely turns on whether Koslow can close distance and change levels against Anheliger's volume and stand-up defense. If he gets top position, his finishing threat becomes the central danger. If Anheliger keeps it standing and drags it long, his output and gas tank over three rounds gain weight.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Koslow can close the 13 cm reach gap, change levels and establish top position, or Anheliger stays upright.
- Early striking: does Anheliger's pressure and defense keep exchanges at range, or does Koslow use his length to set up entries.
- Late rounds: if it reaches the third standing, watch whether Anheliger's cardio starts to tell.
Key Uncertainty
Both have been inactive, Koslow for over 46 months with just one UFC fight on record and Anheliger for 23.5 months, which leaves real limits on reading how either performs here.