← UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Marcio Barbosa vs Dennis Buzukja
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04-18
Marcio BarbosaLow Data
74.7%
Model
77.8%
Market
1.24
Odds
-3.1
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
provisional · 4 UFC fightsprovisional · 4 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P58
Volume
P89
Striking Efficiency
P43
Range Sniper
P89
Kickboxing
P68
Clinch Striking
P13
Defensive Striking
P48
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P8
Pressure Wrestling
P4
Top Control
P6
Submission
P6
Anti-Wrestling
P38
Grappling Defense
P15
Scrambler
P48
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P49
Finisher
P14
Damage Resistance
P25
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P0
Pace
P20
Late Fighter
P47
GLOBAL
Versatility
P4
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
BarbosaBuzukja
—Landed / min4.71
—Absorbed / min4.90
—Accuracy41%
—Defense53%
—KD / 150.36
—KD abs / 150.73
Grappling / Wrestling
BarbosaBuzukja
—TD / 150.00
—TD att / 150.73
—TD accuracy0%
—TD defense57%
—Control / 151:00
—Sub att / 150.00
Targets
BarbosaBuzukja
Head—|59%
Body—|23%
Leg—|19%
Position
BarbosaBuzukja
Distance—|91%
Clinch—|4%
Ground—|5%
Ranking evolution Barbosa Buzukja
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Marcio Barbosa
Marcio Barbosa arrives on a four-fight win streak with a 17-2 record across all organizations, making his UFC debut. His most consistent asset is the ability to close a fight before the judges, and his recent results have come against tougher opposition than his opponent's.
Dennis Buzukja
Dennis Buzukja carries a 1-3 UFC record, with one win in his last 4 appearances, and a 12-5 mark overall. A switch-stance fighter, he holds an eight-centimeter height advantage in this matchup and has been out of competition for nearly 20 months.
Matchup Read
The decisive question is whether Barbosa can convert exchanges into stoppages, since his finishing threat is the standout factor here. Buzukja's height and stance-switching can help him work behind range and vary his looks, changing the angles Barbosa has to solve. If Barbosa closes distance and forces sustained exchanges, his ability to end fights becomes the central danger; if Buzukja keeps things at length and on the scorecards, the picture shifts.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Buzukja uses his height and stance switches to keep Barbosa reaching, or Barbosa cuts the cage and lands clean.
- Finishing sequences: watch how Barbosa reacts once he hurts an opponent, and whether Buzukja can weather and reset.
- Buzukja's timing after nearly 20 months out: sharpness of his reads and reactions in the opening exchanges.
Key Uncertainty
Reading this matchup is limited by Barbosa entering without any UFC history to reference and Buzukja returning from a layoff of nearly 20 months, so current form on both sides is hard to gauge.