← UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Robert Valentin vs Dusko Todorovic
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08-01
52.4%
Model
59.9%
Market
1.61
Odds
-7.4
Edge (pp)
provisional · 4 UFC fightsprovisional · 4 fights
Style Matchup
established · 10 UFC fightsestablished · 10 fights
STRIKING
P5
Striking Initiative
P55
P2
Volume
P34
P55
Striking Efficiency
P70
P7
Range Sniper
P21
P40
Kickboxing
P28
P84
Clinch Striking
P98
P17
Defensive Striking
P19
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P35
Wrestling
P69
P11
Pressure Wrestling
P81
P10
Top Control
P69
P92
Submission
P55
P11
Anti-Wrestling
P61
P16
Grappling Defense
P20
P86
Scrambler
P80
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P4
Power
P21
P88
Finisher
P95
P23
Damage Resistance
P4
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P0
Fast Starter
P97
P1
Pace
P84
P35
Late Fighter
P35
GLOBAL
P31
Versatility
P55
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ValentinTodorovic
1.30Landed / min4.28
2.72Absorbed / min3.78
56%Accuracy54%
33%Defense51%
0.00KD / 150.00
0.59KD abs / 150.86
Grappling / Wrestling
ValentinTodorovic
0.59TD / 152.16
1.18TD att / 157.12
50%TD accuracy30%
55%TD defense43%
2:08Control / 154:17
1.78Sub att / 150.43
Targets
ValentinTodorovic
Head64%|73%
Body18%|19%
Leg18%|7%
Position
ValentinTodorovic
Distance45%|51%
Clinch36%|25%
Ground18%|24%
Ranking evolution Valentin Todorovic
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Robert Valentin
Robert Valentin's striking output has been trending upward recently, and he pairs that with sharp cardio that holds up late and steady recent form. He carries an 8 cm reach advantage and shows some edge in managing range and defending on the feet. His all-org record sits at 11-8.
Dusko Todorovic
Dusko Todorovic brings the heavier output and forward pressure in the striking game, backing a 13-6 all-org mark. On the mat, his main asset is getting off his back and returning to the feet when taken down. He's coming off 10.6 months out of competition.
Matchup Read
Todorovic owns the more tested pressure game, but Valentin holds the matchup-specific tools to blunt it: the reach to fight at range, improving volume, and a gas tank built to pay off over three rounds. If Todorovic closes distance and sets his pace early, the pressure counts most before the championship-free late rounds. If Valentin keeps it long and drags it deep, his cardio becomes the deciding factor as output fades.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Todorovic can march Valentin down and hit his volume, or Valentin keeps him at the end of his reach.
- Grappling: if Valentin changes levels, watch Todorovic scramble back to his feet rather than stay pinned.
- Round three: whether Valentin's pace holds while Todorovic's output drops off.