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Vlasto Cepo vs Gilbert Urbina

Vlasto CepoLow Data
AIUrbina brings the longer frame, but Cepo owns the sharper matchup-specific tool: finishing ability that appl…
71.6%
Model
72.2%
Market
1.33
Odds
-0.6
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
Pace · Top Control · Wrestling Pressure
provisional · 4 UFC fightsprovisional · 4 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P76
Volume
P52
Striking Efficiency
P67
Range Sniper
P59
Kickboxing
P30
Clinch Striking
P80
Defensive Striking
P10
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P77
Pressure Wrestling
P68
Top Control
P81
Submission
P39
Anti-Wrestling
P38
Grappling Defense
P16
Scrambler
P32
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P59
Finisher
P22
Damage Resistance
P12
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P44
Pace
P92
Late Fighter
—
GLOBAL
Versatility
P42
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
CepoUrbina
—Landed / min5.57
—Absorbed / min4.62
—Accuracy57%
—Defense45%
—KD / 151.43
—KD abs / 152.14
Grappling / Wrestling
CepoUrbina
—TD / 152.86
—TD att / 156.43
—TD accuracy44%
—TD defense0%
—Control / 154:12
—Sub att / 150.71
Targets
CepoUrbina
Head—|61%
Body—|24%
Leg—|15%
Position
CepoUrbina
Distance—|54%
Clinch—|19%
Ground—|27%
Ranking evolution Cepo Urbina
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Vlasto Cepo
Vlasto Cepo arrives at 14-3 across all organizations on a two-fight win streak, and his standout trait is the ability to close the show before the judges get involved. That finishing threat extends to the ground, where he carries real danger in top exchanges. His recent wins came against modest regional opposition.
Gilbert Urbina
Gilbert Urbina sits at 7-6 overall and 1-3 in the UFC, with one win in his last four appearances. He holds the physical measurements here, standing roughly 8 cm taller with about 5 cm more reach, giving him length to work behind. He has been out of competition for nearly a year.
Matchup Read
Urbina brings the longer frame, but Cepo owns the sharper matchup-specific tool: finishing ability that applies both on the feet and from top position. If Urbina can use his length to keep exchanges at range, he stretches this toward the scorecards. Cepo's path runs through closing distance and turning any grounded sequence into a finishing opportunity, where his threat is most concrete over three rounds.
What to Watch
  • Range: whether Urbina can keep Cepo at the end of his longer reach or gets drawn into close exchanges.
  • Grappling: if the fight hits the mat, watch whether Cepo advances to finishing positions from top.
  • Pace: whether Urbina's near-year layoff shows in his timing early.
Key Uncertainty
With Cepo making his UFC debut and no promotional history to read against this level of competition, how his finishing translates against a UFC opponent remains the open question in this matchup.