← UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Azamat Bekoev vs Tresean Gore
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04-04
74.6%
Model
82.8%
Market
1.16
Odds
-8.3
Edge (pp)
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
Style Matchup
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
STRIKING
P38
Striking Initiative
P3
P19
Volume
P16
P28
Striking Efficiency
P31
P44
Range Sniper
P37
P8
Kickboxing
P68
P46
Clinch Striking
P48
P1
Defensive Striking
P3
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P85
Wrestling
P67
P74
Pressure Wrestling
P20
P91
Top Control
P17
P49
Submission
P72
P40
Anti-Wrestling
P16
P66
Grappling Defense
P81
P34
Scrambler
P23
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P88
Power
P1
P64
Finisher
P76
P47
Damage Resistance
P21
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P78
Fast Starter
P61
P86
Pace
P2
P36
Late Fighter
P53
GLOBAL
P31
Versatility
P30
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
BekoevGore
4.07Landed / min2.76
7.66Absorbed / min7.48
46%Accuracy43%
32%Defense41%
1.79KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.91
Grappling / Wrestling
BekoevGore
4.49TD / 151.83
9.87TD att / 152.43
45%TD accuracy75%
80%TD defense88%
5:55Control / 151:30
0.00Sub att / 150.91
Targets
BekoevGore
Head81%|53%
Body13%|18%
Leg6%|29%
Position
BekoevGore
Distance62%|87%
Clinch10%|10%
Ground28%|3%
Ranking evolution Bekoev Gore
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Azamat Bekoev
Azamat Bekoev carries a heavy top game once the fight hits the mat, and pairs it with real finishing ability and recent knockout power. He owns a 20-4 mark across all organizations and a 2-1 UFC run, and adds a bit of extra volume and forward pressure standing.
Tresean Gore
Tresean Gore's strengths run to cardio: a strong gas tank and the ability to hold his pace late into the fight. He owns an 8 cm reach advantage that lets him work at range. His record sits at 5-6 overall and 2-4 in the UFC, and he's tasted a recent finish loss.
Matchup Read
Bekoev's top control and finishing instinct meet Gore's need to stay long and keep the fight in open space, where that 8 cm reach helps him manage range. If Bekoev closes the gap and puts him on the mat, his knockout power and ground pressure become the central threats, especially given Gore's recent exposure to a finish. If Gore keeps it standing and drags it into deep water, his cardio and late-round pace grow in value.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Gore uses his reach to keep Bekoev at the end of his punches or gets walked down.
- Grappling: how often Bekoev changes levels and whether he can hold top position once he lands it.
- Late rounds: if the fight stays standing and long, watch whether Gore's pace starts to tell as Bekoev's output dips.