← UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Montel Jackson vs Deiveson Figueiredo
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10-11
67.4%
Model
70.9%
Market
1.36
Odds
-3.4
Edge (pp)
established · 11 UFC fightsestablished · 11 fights
Style Matchup
established · 18 UFC fightsestablished · 18 fights
STRIKING
P63
Striking Initiative
P4
P24
Volume
P4
P65
Striking Efficiency
P66
P35
Range Sniper
P70
P30
Kickboxing
P49
P94
Clinch Striking
P45
P69
Defensive Striking
P12
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P92
Wrestling
P62
P82
Pressure Wrestling
P53
P83
Top Control
P46
P30
Submission
P82
P42
Anti-Wrestling
P42
P48
Grappling Defense
P33
P85
Scrambler
P69
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P96
Power
P83
P31
Finisher
P63
P79
Damage Resistance
P91
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P93
Fast Starter
P84
P86
Pace
P13
P57
Late Fighter
P80
GLOBAL
P93
Versatility
P59
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
JacksonFigueiredo
3.09Landed / min2.52
1.35Absorbed / min3.45
55%Accuracy54%
62%Defense49%
1.46KD / 150.84
0.00KD abs / 150.07
Grappling / Wrestling
JacksonFigueiredo
3.20TD / 151.74
5.33TD att / 155.09
60%TD accuracy34%
68%TD defense59%
5:46Control / 152:47
0.40Sub att / 151.53
Targets
JacksonFigueiredo
Head74%|61%
Body18%|28%
Leg8%|12%
Position
JacksonFigueiredo
Distance56%|70%
Clinch26%|9%
Ground17%|21%
Ranking evolution Jackson Figueiredo
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Montel Jackson
Montel Jackson rides a six-fight win streak and has taken all five of his last five UFC bouts. He owns a large frame for the division and uses that length to manage range, backing it with reliable stand-up defense and a granite recent chin. His top game gives him something to lean on once the fight hits the mat.
Deiveson Figueiredo
Deiveson Figueiredo brings a deep 24-5 career record and a win over the No. 6-ranked opponent. His most meaningful weapon is the finishing threat he carries on the ground, where he can end sequences outright, and he retains the ability to close a fight before it reaches the judges.
Matchup Read
Figueiredo's ground finishing is the sharpest early danger, so any exchange that hits the mat or any scramble he can turn into a submission is where his path lives. Jackson's answer is length and stand-up defense to keep this at range, using an 18 cm reach advantage to fight from the outside. If Jackson controls distance and lands his own top position, the fight tilts toward the later rounds and his durability grows in value.
What to Watch
- Early exchanges: whether Jackson keeps range with his length or Figueiredo closes the gap to get inside.
- Grappling: any moment the fight hits the mat, watch whether Figueiredo threatens a submission or Jackson establishes top control.
- Late rounds: if the fight stays standing and grinds on, whether Jackson's chin and pace hold up.