← UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Kevin Vallejos vs Giga Chikadze
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12-13
57.8%
Model
70.4%
Market
1.37
Odds
-12.6
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
established · 11 UFC fightsestablished · 11 fights
STRIKING
P94
Striking Initiative
P61
P95
Volume
P86
P39
Striking Efficiency
P49
P72
Range Sniper
P74
P58
Kickboxing
P75
P51
Clinch Striking
P1
P71
Defensive Striking
P97
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P54
Wrestling
P14
P53
Pressure Wrestling
P1
P58
Top Control
P2
P15
Submission
P31
P41
Anti-Wrestling
P99
P66
Grappling Defense
P80
P33
Scrambler
P40
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P94
Power
P85
P70
Finisher
P42
P52
Damage Resistance
P89
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P28
Fast Starter
P67
P70
Pace
P12
P56
Late Fighter
P74
GLOBAL
P44
Versatility
P40
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
VallejosChikadze
5.73Landed / min3.94
4.68Absorbed / min3.48
41%Accuracy42%
59%Defense62%
0.83KD / 150.61
0.00KD abs / 150.10
Grappling / Wrestling
VallejosChikadze
1.65TD / 150.20
4.13TD att / 150.51
40%TD accuracy40%
89%TD defense68%
1:05Control / 150:19
0.00Sub att / 150.20
Targets
VallejosChikadze
Head62%|59%
Body29%|25%
Leg10%|16%
Position
VallejosChikadze
Distance90%|91%
Clinch9%|1%
Ground1%|8%
Ranking evolution Vallejos Chikadze
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Kevin Vallejos
Kevin Vallejos rides a 5-fight win streak and sits 16-1 overall, 2-0 in the UFC. His most consistent strengths are getting the fight to the mat and closing before the scorecards, backed by a run of finishes. He also brings a slight edge in output and pressure standing, plus solid takedown defense of his own.
Giga Chikadze
Giga Chikadze owns the longer frame and reach, and at 8-3 in the UFC he beat the No. 17-ranked opponent in his last win. His most usable matchup tool is distance management and stand-up defense, where the length helps him keep exchanges at his preferred range.
Matchup Read
Vallejos's push to get the fight down meets Chikadze's need to keep it standing at range, and that collision decides much of this. If Vallejos closes distance and grounds him, his top game and finishing threat come alive; if Chikadze uses his 15 cm reach advantage to manage distance and defend the level changes, he keeps the fight where his length and stand-up defense matter most. Vallejos's slight pressure edge helps him force those entries.
What to Watch
- Distance: whether Vallejos can close through the reach to change levels, or Chikadze keeps him at the end of his jab.
- Grappling: if the fight hits the mat, watch how long Chikadze stays under top pressure before scrambling free.
- Late rounds: whether Vallejos's pressure and finishing pace hold as the fight wears on.
Key Uncertainty
With only two UFC fights on Vallejos's record, how his grappling and pace hold up against this level of opposition remains harder to project than his overall streak suggests.