← UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Manel Kape vs Brandon Royval
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12-13
51.8%
Model
72.5%
Market
1.33
Odds
-20.7
Edge (pp)
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P85
Striking Initiative
P98
P84
Volume
P100
P99
Striking Efficiency
P55
P99
Range Sniper
P68
P97
Kickboxing
P46
P14
Clinch Striking
P15
P80
Defensive Striking
P3
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P11
Wrestling
P41
P30
Pressure Wrestling
P16
P11
Top Control
P7
P45
Submission
P89
P93
Anti-Wrestling
P23
P92
Grappling Defense
P7
P38
Scrambler
P59
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P90
Power
P29
P89
Finisher
P69
P92
Damage Resistance
P53
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P51
Fast Starter
P24
P15
Pace
P55
P90
Late Fighter
P99
GLOBAL
P88
Versatility
P21
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
KapeRoyval
5.04Landed / min5.55
4.05Absorbed / min4.23
56%Accuracy41%
58%Defense43%
0.83KD / 150.33
0.00KD abs / 150.33
Grappling / Wrestling
KapeRoyval
0.42TD / 150.67
1.39TD att / 150.89
30%TD accuracy75%
81%TD defense45%
0:28Control / 151:03
0.28Sub att / 151.11
Targets
KapeRoyval
Head68%|79%
Body19%|15%
Leg13%|6%
Position
KapeRoyval
Distance90%|87%
Clinch4%|5%
Ground6%|8%
Ranking evolution Kape Royval
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Manel Kape
Kape defends takedowns well and keeps exchanges standing, where his recent knockout power and finishing momentum carry real weight. He's on a 2-fight winning streak, most recently beating the No. 12-ranked opponent, and his defensive work has been sharpening. Both his chin and his UFC form (4 wins in his last 5) have held up lately.
Brandon Royval
Royval owns a 10 cm height advantage and has been ramping up his striking volume in recent outings. He beat the No. 7-ranked opponent last time out and has shown steady, non-declining form across his recent fights, going 3 of his last 5 in the UFC.
Matchup Read
Kape's takedown defense meets Royval's push to force scrambles and get the fight to the mat, and if Kape keeps it upright his knockout power becomes the central factor. Royval's rising output and 10 cm of height suggest he'll try to work behind length and volume, but standing exchanges play into Kape's recent finishing form. The longer it stays on the feet, the more Kape's power hangs over each exchange.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Royval can drag the fight down or gets stuffed and kept standing by Kape.
- Early striking: whether Royval uses his height and length to keep Kape at range, or Kape closes into power range.
- Volume vs power: whether Royval's output stacks up before Kape lands something that ends the exchange.