← UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Steven Asplund vs Sean Sharaf
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12-13
Steven AsplundLow Data
vs Sean Sharaf
65.5%
Model
66.3%
Market
1.45
Odds
-0.8
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P68
Volume
P70
Striking Efficiency
P79
Range Sniper
P72
Kickboxing
P78
Clinch Striking
P27
Defensive Striking
P20
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P57
Pressure Wrestling
P78
Top Control
P67
Submission
P5
Anti-Wrestling
P42
Grappling Defense
P51
Scrambler
P35
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P40
Finisher
P65
Damage Resistance
P40
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P57
Pace
P83
Late Fighter
—
GLOBAL
Versatility
P43
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
AsplundSharaf
—Landed / min7.31
—Absorbed / min9.79
—Accuracy45%
—Defense45%
—KD / 150.00
—KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
AsplundSharaf
—TD / 152.07
—TD att / 1516.55
—TD accuracy13%
—TD defense—
—Control / 151:35
—Sub att / 150.00
Targets
AsplundSharaf
Head—|74%
Body—|13%
Leg—|13%
Position
AsplundSharaf
Distance—|83%
Clinch—|2%
Ground—|15%
Ranking evolution Asplund Sharaf
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Steven Asplund
Steven Asplund arrives on a three-fight run across all organizations, sitting at 6-1, with those wins coming against modest regional opposition. He owns a five-centimeter height advantage here, giving him some length to work behind in the heavyweight exchanges. This is his UFC debut.
Sean Sharaf
Sean Sharaf carries a 4-1 mark across all organizations and dropped his UFC debut, with both his recent win and loss coming against modest regional competition. His most notable trait in this pairing is a slight edge in ending fights before the scorecards. He's been out for 14 months.
Matchup Read
Sharaf's finishing threat meets Asplund's length and height edge, which is the central tension here. At heavyweight, either man's power can settle things in a single exchange, so Asplund's job is to use his reach to keep Sharaf at the end of his punches rather than trading in the pocket. If Sharaf closes distance and forces short exchanges, his slight finishing edge grows more relevant. Neither has a deep record against tested opposition.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Asplund fights behind his length or lets Sharaf close into short, heavy exchanges.
- Finishing sequences: how Sharaf reacts when he hurts his man, and whether Asplund's chin holds in the pocket.
- Sharaf's timing: whether 14 months out shows early or he settles in quickly.
Key Uncertainty
Reading this is hard: Asplund is a UFC debutant with no top-level history, while Sharaf brings only one UFC fight and a 14-month layoff, so both men are largely unproven at this level.