← UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Phil Rowe vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02-21
Phil RoweLow Data
71.8%
Model
36.3%
Market
2.65
Odds
+35.5
Edge (pp)
established · 8 UFC fightsestablished · 8 fights
Style Matchup
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
STRIKING
P11
Striking Initiative
P25
Volume
P74
Striking Efficiency
P92
Range Sniper
P83
Kickboxing
P70
Clinch Striking
P40
Defensive Striking
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P21
Wrestling
P25
Pressure Wrestling
P22
Top Control
P46
Submission
P20
Anti-Wrestling
P14
Grappling Defense
P74
Scrambler
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P78
Power
P98
Finisher
P51
Damage Resistance
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P3
Fast Starter
P3
Pace
P91
Late Fighter
GLOBAL
P26
Versatility
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
RoweLebosnoyani
3.04Landed / min—
3.90Absorbed / min—
47%Accuracy—
52%Defense—
0.43KD / 15—
0.43KD abs / 15—
Grappling / Wrestling
RoweLebosnoyani
0.58TD / 15—
1.59TD att / 15—
36%TD accuracy—
50%TD defense—
2:03Control / 15—
0.29Sub att / 15—
Targets
RoweLebosnoyani
Head74%|—
Body13%|—
Leg13%|—
Position
RoweLebosnoyani
Distance87%|—
Clinch12%|—
Ground1%|—
Ranking evolution Rowe Lebosnoyani
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Phil Rowe
Phil Rowe brings a notable frame edge into this one, with 20 cm of reach on his opponent to work behind. His recent form carries finishing momentum and knockout power, and he's tested against a stronger tier of competition. His UFC ledger sits at 4-4, 2 of his last 5 inside the promotion going his way.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani rides a four-fight win streak into his UFC debut, 9-2 across all organizations. He fights from a switch stance, giving him the option to change looks and angles. His recent work has come against modest regional opposition.
Matchup Read
Standing exchanges favor Rowe, whose reach and recent power let him punish entries from the outside, while Lebosnoyani's switch stance is his tool to disguise approach and close that 20 cm gap. The debutant needs to get inside the long frame or change levels to neutralize it. If he can't cross that distance, Rowe's length and finishing threat dictate the range and the terms of the fight.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Lebosnoyani can breach the reach gap or gets kept pinned on the end of Rowe's punches.
- Stance switching: how often Lebosnoyani changes leads to create angles into the pocket, and whether it opens closing lanes.
- Power spots: whether Rowe times a clean shot as the shorter man commits to getting inside.
Key Uncertainty
Lebosnoyani steps in on his UFC debut with no promotional history to read, so how his four-fight run translates against this level of opposition is the main open question.