← UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Saygid Izagakhmaev vs Nicolas Dalby
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11-22
Saygid IzagakhmaevLow Data
59.6%
Model
75.0%
Market
1.28
Odds
-15.5
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
established · 12 UFC fightsestablished · 12 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P55
Volume
P65
Striking Efficiency
P26
Range Sniper
P31
Kickboxing
P32
Clinch Striking
P98
Defensive Striking
P43
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P27
Pressure Wrestling
P66
Top Control
P50
Submission
P32
Anti-Wrestling
P20
Grappling Defense
P24
Scrambler
P61
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P28
Finisher
P4
Damage Resistance
P60
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P6
Pace
P68
Late Fighter
P94
GLOBAL
Versatility
P11
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
IzagakhmaevDalby
—Landed / min3.86
—Absorbed / min3.61
—Accuracy43%
—Defense54%
—KD / 150.18
—KD abs / 150.27
Grappling / Wrestling
IzagakhmaevDalby
—TD / 150.90
—TD att / 153.52
—TD accuracy26%
—TD defense57%
—Control / 153:09
—Sub att / 150.09
Targets
IzagakhmaevDalby
Head—|57%
Body—|26%
Leg—|17%
Position
IzagakhmaevDalby
Distance—|65%
Clinch—|29%
Ground—|6%
Ranking evolution Izagakhmaev Dalby
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Saygid Izagakhmaev
Izagakhmaev arrives on a five-fight win streak and a 22-2 overall mark, carrying real finishing danger on the ground where his submission threat stands out. He's also shown the ability to close fights before the judges get involved, and he hasn't been stopped in his recent outings.
Nicolas Dalby
Dalby brings a deep 23-7 record and a 7-5 UFC run, going 3/5 in his last five appearances. His most recent win came against lower-ranked opposition, and his last defeat was to the No. 29-ranked opponent. He's a decade older than Izagakhmaev.
Matchup Read
The early phase carries Izagakhmaev's finishing danger, particularly his submission threat off the ground, where he can turn a scramble or a top position into a fight-ender. Dalby's value grows if he can steer this into a longer, tested fight and lean on his UFC seasoning over the distance. The central question is whether Dalby can keep exchanges from hitting the mat, where Izagakhmaev's finishing tools become live.
What to Watch
- Grappling: watch whether Izagakhmaev can drag Dalby down and hunt submissions, or whether Dalby keeps it upright.
- Late rounds: if the fight drags on without a finish, note whether Dalby's UFC-tested experience starts to tell.
- Durability: track how Dalby holds up once Izagakhmaev threatens the stoppage he's shown he can deliver.
Key Uncertainty
Izagakhmaev is making his UFC debut with no promotional history to read, so how his finishing game holds up against this level of opposition remains the main open question.