← UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Volkan Oezdemir vs Alonzo Menifield
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11-22
66.1%
Model
66.8%
Market
1.44
Odds
-0.7
Edge (pp)
established · 15 UFC fightsestablished · 15 fights
Style Matchup
established · 15 UFC fightsestablished · 15 fights
STRIKING
P86
Striking Initiative
P34
P80
Volume
P32
P85
Striking Efficiency
P88
P85
Range Sniper
P73
P87
Kickboxing
P69
P43
Clinch Striking
P60
P56
Defensive Striking
P19
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P11
Wrestling
P19
P27
Pressure Wrestling
P22
P32
Top Control
P60
P37
Submission
P51
P29
Anti-Wrestling
P73
P67
Grappling Defense
P94
P5
Scrambler
P58
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P81
Power
P62
P72
Finisher
P60
P64
Damage Resistance
P26
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P77
Fast Starter
P1
P41
Pace
P25
P21
Late Fighter
P72
GLOBAL
P47
Versatility
P73
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
OezdemirMenifield
4.95Landed / min3.77
4.22Absorbed / min4.06
49%Accuracy52%
55%Defense51%
0.60KD / 150.35
0.20KD abs / 150.46
Grappling / Wrestling
OezdemirMenifield
0.50TD / 150.58
1.71TD att / 151.63
29%TD accuracy36%
80%TD defense88%
1:41Control / 153:24
0.10Sub att / 150.23
Targets
OezdemirMenifield
Head62%|80%
Body15%|11%
Leg22%|9%
Position
OezdemirMenifield
Distance80%|76%
Clinch12%|14%
Ground8%|9%
Ranking evolution Oezdemir Menifield
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Volkan Oezdemir
Oezdemir brings the higher striking output in this matchup, with his volume and forward pressure both trending upward lately. His work on top has also been improving. His recent form has held steady without decline, and he beat the No. 11-ranked opponent in his last outing before a 12-month layoff.
Alonzo Menifield
Menifield's main strength here is his ability to change levels and drag the fight to the mat, backed by solid control once he's there. He carries the better gas tank deep into the fight, and rides a 2-fight winning streak into the cage.
Matchup Read
Oezdemir's rising striking volume and pressure clash early with Menifield's push to get the fight down, where his control keeps things grounded. The central question is whether Oezdemir can keep it standing and stay busy at range, or whether Menifield times his level changes and grinds from top. As the fight wears on, Menifield's superior gas tank grows in value, especially if he's the one dictating where it takes place.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Oezdemir keeps his output high and forces Menifield to trade at distance rather than shoot.
- Grappling: how cleanly Menifield gets his takedown entries in and whether Oezdemir can work back to his feet.
- Late rounds: whose pace holds up as Menifield's cardio starts to weigh on the exchanges.