← UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Jack Jenkins vs Ramon Taveras
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09-27
58.3%
Model
72.3%
Market
1.33
Odds
-14.0
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P70
Striking Initiative
P33
P56
Volume
P69
P96
Striking Efficiency
P90
P96
Range Sniper
P98
P88
Kickboxing
P93
P65
Clinch Striking
P15
P64
Defensive Striking
P63
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P55
Wrestling
P21
P42
Pressure Wrestling
P0
P45
Top Control
P1
P22
Submission
P27
P4
Anti-Wrestling
P58
P19
Grappling Defense
P74
P30
Scrambler
P32
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P79
Power
P76
P46
Finisher
P53
P60
Damage Resistance
P67
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P85
Fast Starter
P0
P31
Pace
P1
P4
Late Fighter
P74
GLOBAL
P69
Versatility
P41
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
JenkinsTaveras
4.72Landed / min4.37
3.40Absorbed / min7.53
60%Accuracy43%
57%Defense56%
0.74KD / 150.50
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
JenkinsTaveras
1.23TD / 150.00
1.96TD att / 150.00
63%TD accuracy—
65%TD defense100%
2:48Control / 150:03
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
JenkinsTaveras
Head53%|85%
Body24%|10%
Leg23%|5%
Position
JenkinsTaveras
Distance74%|97%
Clinch11%|2%
Ground15%|1%
Ranking evolution Jenkins Taveras
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Jack Jenkins
Jack Jenkins comes in at 3-2 in the UFC and 13-4 overall, having taken three of his last five inside the Octagon. His recent work shows tightening defense and a run of finishes, giving him some momentum in the closing stretch of fights.
Ramon Taveras
Ramon Taveras, 1-1 in the UFC and 10-3 across all promotions, is hard to bring down and keeps things standing where he wants them. He holds his pace deep into fights, carries a slight finishing threat, and works behind a 5 cm reach advantage from a southpaw stance.
Matchup Read
Jenkins' path toward the mat runs straight into Taveras' takedown defense, and if it stays upright the southpaw's reach and durability come into play. Taveras hasn't been stopped recently and manages his gas tank better late, so a grind into the later rounds favors him. Jenkins' best window is early, leaning on his recent finishing form before the cardio gap and range start to tell.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Jenkins can plant Taveras on the mat or gets stuffed and forced to trade at range.
- Early striking: how Taveras uses the 5 cm reach and southpaw angles to keep Jenkins outside.
- Late rounds: whether the pace holds up for Jenkins or Taveras' conditioning takes over down the stretch.
Key Uncertainty
With only two UFC fights on Taveras' record, there's limited high-level tape to confirm how his takedown defense and late-round pace hold against this level of opposition.