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Lucas Alexander

Lucas Alexander

provisional · 4 UFC fights
8-5
Record
3 KO · 0 SUB · 5 DEC
Wins by method
WinLossWinLossLoss
Recent form
29
Age
180 cm
Height
185 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2025-02-01
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P91
Volume
P89
Striking Efficiency
P99
Range Sniper
P94
Kickboxing
P100
Clinch Striking
P23
Defensive Striking
P66
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P10
Pressure Wrestling
P7
Top Control
P20
Submission
P1
Anti-Wrestling
P60
Grappling Defense
P47
Scrambler
P51
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P73
Finisher
P14
Damage Resistance
P28
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P68
Pace
P37
Late Fighter
P42
GLOBAL
Versatility
P51
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2025-02-01
Striking
4.69
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
2.87
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
57%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
57%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.54
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.54
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.00
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
1.07
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
0%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
60%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
1:41
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.00
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head52%
Body22%
Leg26%
Position
Distance91%
Clinch3%
Ground6%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2202R3307increasing
TakedownsR1100R20R30declining
ControlR1100R212R3122increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
50%
Model correct (2/4)
1/3
Fighter wins when model favored
0/1
Fighter wins when model underdog
1/3
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2025-02-01
51.4%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-11-18
76.4%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-03-25
63.4%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-10-15
28.3%
Model · pick ✓
→