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Rafael Tobias

Rafael Tobias#46 LHW

provisional · 2 UFC fights
14-3
Record
5 KO · 6 SUB · 3 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinWinLossLoss
Recent form
23
Age
188 cm
Height
188 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-08-15
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P1
Volume
P9
Striking Efficiency
P3
Range Sniper
P9
Kickboxing
P10
Clinch Striking
P43
Defensive Striking
P2
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P52
Pressure Wrestling
P71
Top Control
P57
Submission
P54
Anti-Wrestling
P56
Grappling Defense
P78
Scrambler
P31
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P10
Finisher
P50
Damage Resistance
P26
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P2
Pace
P13
Late Fighter
P13
GLOBAL
Versatility
P6
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. MIXED PROFILE2026-08-15 → CURRENT
  2. PRESSURE WRESTLER2026-08-15 · 1 fight
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-08-15
Striking
1.99
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
6.23
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
33%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
37%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.00
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
1.15
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
1.72
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
5.16
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
33%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
100%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
1:58
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.57
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head65%
Body23%
Leg12%
Position
Distance71%
Clinch10%
Ground19%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R290R359declining
TakedownsR1100R2600R3200increasing
ControlR1100R2218R394stable

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
0%
Model correct (0/2)
0/2
Fighter wins when model favored
—
Fighter wins when model underdog
0/1
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-08-15
59.2%
Model · pick ✗
→
2026-03-07
55.3%
Model · pick ✗
→