FIGHTintelligence
UFC predictions & fighter analytics
← UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2

Rafael Alves vs Drew Dober

57.4%
Model
33.5%
Market
2.88
Odds
+23.9
Edge (pp)
57.4%42.6%
Kickboxing
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
Style Matchup
Volume · Initiative
established · 17 UFC fightsestablished · 17 fights
STRIKING
P2
Striking Initiative
P76
P7
Volume
P79
P90
Striking Efficiency
P47
P99
Range Sniper
P68
P98
Kickboxing
P54
P44
Clinch Striking
P62
P64
Defensive Striking
P24
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P17
Wrestling
P24
P3
Pressure Wrestling
P77
P1
Top Control
P46
P83
Submission
P65
P1
Anti-Wrestling
P27
P4
Grappling Defense
P18
P33
Scrambler
P52
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P78
Power
P59
P56
Finisher
P58
P52
Damage Resistance
P96
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P22
Fast Starter
P67
P0
Pace
P77
P59
Late Fighter
P76
GLOBAL
P41
Versatility
P20
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
AlvesDober
2.14Landed / min4.48
3.51Absorbed / min4.29
49%Accuracy41%
58%Defense52%
0.89KD / 150.63
0.00KD abs / 150.11
Grappling / Wrestling
AlvesDober
0.00TD / 150.85
0.89TD att / 154.76
0%TD accuracy18%
50%TD defense54%
0:14Control / 152:44
1.79Sub att / 150.11
Targets
AlvesDober
Head64%|67%
Body19%|20%
Leg17%|13%
Position
AlvesDober
Distance94%|74%
Clinch6%|14%
Ground0%|12%
Ranking evolution Alves Dober