FIGHTintelligence
UFC predictions & fighter analytics
PredictionsPerformance & Past EventsFightersDNA AnalyticsAbout
← Fighters
Rafael Alves

Rafael Alves

DISTANCE KICKBOXER
Secondary style
Submission Hunter
provisional · 4 UFC fights
20-12
Record
7 KO · 8 SUB · 5 DEC
Wins by method
WinLossWinLossLoss
Recent form
32
Age
173 cm
Height
173 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2023-02-25
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P1
Volume
P3
Striking Efficiency
P78
Range Sniper
P86
Kickboxing
P94
Clinch Striking
P28
Defensive Striking
P76
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P17
Pressure Wrestling
P19
Top Control
P7
Submission
P86
Anti-Wrestling
P21
Grappling Defense
P2
Scrambler
P61
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P55
Finisher
P59
Damage Resistance
P40
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P79
Pace
P1
Late Fighter
P60
GLOBAL
Versatility
P45
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2023-02-25
Striking
1.82
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
3.23
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
50%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
58%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.35
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.35
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.35
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
1.39
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
25%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
38%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
1:21
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
1.39
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head62%
Body22%
Leg16%
Position
Distance90%
Clinch4%
Ground6%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2182R3117increasing
TakedownsR1100R2267R3133increasing
ControlR1100R20R386declining

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
0%
Model correct (0/2)
0/2
Fighter wins when model favored
—
Fighter wins when model underdog
0/2
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2023-02-25
vs Nurullo Aliev Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
60.3%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-07-30
vs Drew Dober Loss · KO/TKO
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
57.4%
Model · pick ✗
→