FIGHTintelligence
UFC predictions & fighter analytics
← UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier

Islam Makhachev vs Dustin Poirier

79.9%
Model
80.3%
Market
1.19
Odds
-0.3
Edge (pp)
Top Control · Wrestling
established · 15 UFC fightsestablished · 15 fights
Style Matchup
Striking Efficiency · Range
established · 29 UFC fightsestablished · 29 fights
STRIKING
P34
Striking Initiative
P81
P7
Volume
P73
P49
Striking Efficiency
P90
P14
Range Sniper
P87
P17
Kickboxing
P64
P95
Clinch Striking
P55
P49
Defensive Striking
P30
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P94
Wrestling
P53
P86
Pressure Wrestling
P63
P97
Top Control
P61
P88
Submission
P69
P98
Anti-Wrestling
P61
P97
Grappling Defense
P33
P97
Scrambler
P66
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P53
Power
P82
P45
Finisher
P76
P39
Damage Resistance
P81
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P99
Fast Starter
P82
P77
Pace
P83
P22
Late Fighter
P1
GLOBAL
P97
Versatility
P82
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MakhachevPoirier
2.46Landed / min5.51
1.27Absorbed / min4.45
60%Accuracy51%
62%Defense53%
0.41KD / 150.72
0.20KD abs / 150.15
Grappling / Wrestling
MakhachevPoirier
3.17TD / 151.44
5.22TD att / 153.96
61%TD accuracy36%
91%TD defense61%
7:13Control / 153:34
1.02Sub att / 151.13
Targets
MakhachevPoirier
Head68%|80%
Body28%|9%
Leg5%|11%
Position
MakhachevPoirier
Distance50%|75%
Clinch21%|15%
Ground29%|10%
Ranking evolution Makhachev Poirier