FIGHTintelligence
UFC predictions & fighter analytics
← UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2

Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje

67.4%
Model
54.1%
Market
1.79
Odds
+13.3
Edge (pp)
Striking Efficiency · Range
established · 27 UFC fightsestablished · 27 fights
Style Matchup
Striking Efficiency · Range
established · 11 UFC fightsestablished · 11 fights
STRIKING
P85
Striking Initiative
P87
P75
Volume
P81
P89
Striking Efficiency
P100
P86
Range Sniper
P99
P64
Kickboxing
P99
P60
Clinch Striking
P71
P31
Defensive Striking
P39
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P56
Wrestling
P6
P66
Pressure Wrestling
P25
P62
Top Control
P43
P68
Submission
P7
P64
Anti-Wrestling
P57
P34
Grappling Defense
P70
P67
Scrambler
P2
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P81
Power
P88
P71
Finisher
P80
P92
Damage Resistance
P68
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P85
Fast Starter
P83
P85
Pace
P12
P1
Late Fighter
P69
GLOBAL
P83
Versatility
P71
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
PoirierGaethje
5.58Landed / min7.38
4.34Absorbed / min7.66
51%Accuracy60%
54%Defense54%
0.70KD / 150.67
0.11KD abs / 150.27
Grappling / Wrestling
PoirierGaethje
1.51TD / 150.13
4.10TD att / 150.54
37%TD accuracy25%
62%TD defense75%
3:43Control / 150:35
0.97Sub att / 150.00
Targets
PoirierGaethje
Head80%|63%
Body9%|9%
Leg11%|28%
Position
PoirierGaethje
Distance74%|86%
Clinch15%|12%
Ground10%|2%
Ranking evolution Poirier Gaethje