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Justin Gaethje

Justin Gaethje#1 LW

established · 16 UFC fights
28-5
Record
21 KO · 1 SUB · 6 DEC
Wins by method
WinLossWinWinWin
Recent form
37
Age
180 cm
Height
178 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-06-14
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P84
Volume
P78
Striking Efficiency
P99
Range Sniper
P98
Kickboxing
P97
Clinch Striking
P75
Defensive Striking
P25
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P7
Pressure Wrestling
P24
Top Control
P50
Submission
P6
Anti-Wrestling
P59
Grappling Defense
P72
Scrambler
P1
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P91
Finisher
P80
Damage Resistance
P67
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P74
Pace
P21
Late Fighter
P61
GLOBAL
Versatility
P74
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. PRECISION STRIKER2023-03-18 → CURRENT · 6 fights
  2. DISTANCE KICKBOXER2022-05-07 · 1 fight
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-06-14
Striking
6.29
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
6.83
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
58%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
51%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.67
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.30
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.30
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
1.11
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
27%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
73%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
0:59
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.00
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head66%
Body11%
Leg23%
Position
Distance84%
Clinch13%
Ground3%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2103R3105stable
TakedownsR1100R2107R3142increasing
ControlR1100R2263R3224increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
43%
Model correct (3/7)
1/1
Fighter wins when model favored
4/6
Fighter wins when model underdog
1/1
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-06-14
19.6%
Model · pick ✗
→
2026-01-24
31.3%
Model · pick ✗
→
2025-03-08
70.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-04-13
40.9%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-07-29
32.6%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-03-18
45.4%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-05-07
40.8%
Model · pick ✓
→