Topuria's ground finishing threat meets Gaethje's pressure and output on the feet, and that collision likely decides it. If Topuria closes distance and brings this to the mat, his submission danger becomes the central concern. Gaethje's slight volume edge and tightened defense are built to keep it standing, where his height and forward pace matter. Over five rounds, whoever dictates whether the fight stays vertical sets the terms.

Gane carries the quality résumé and the five-round pedigree, but Pereira owns the sharper finishing tools for this matchup. With Pereira's takedown defense keeping things upright, the fight likely lives on the feet, where Gane's reach and distance management meet Pereira's power. Gane's job is to stay long and avoid trading in the pocket; every clean exchange raises Pereira's finishing threat across a scheduled five.

Early, O'Malley's length and takedown threat shape the terms: he can work behind the reach or change levels to steal rounds. Zahabi's sharper distance management and stand-up defense are built to neutralize that range, and his rising output keeps him in exchanges. If O'Malley can't convert takedowns, Zahabi's volume becomes more relevant as the three rounds wear on.

Lewis brings the deeper track record, but Hokit owns the sharper matchup-specific tools. The fight hinges on where it lives: Lewis wants to use his reach to keep Hokit at the end of punches and lean on his chin if exchanges get heavy. Hokit's volume and pressure are built to close that gap, and if he drags it to the mat his finishing threat becomes the central danger. Across three rounds, range control versus forward pressure decides it.

Ruffy's length and rising striking volume give him room to work on the outside, where his finishing threat lives. Chandler's road runs through closing that distance and getting Ruffy into exchanges before the fight stretches out. The longer this goes, the more Ruffy's cardio and ability to hold pace over three rounds come into play. Chandler needs his work done early; Ruffy's profile points toward the later minutes.

Early, Nickal's distance control and durability set the terms on the feet, where his finishing threat lives. As rounds pass, Daukaus's path runs through grappling: if he can drag this down, his submission threat becomes the central danger. The tension is Nickal's takedown defense against that pull to the mat, and Daukaus's ability to scramble up cuts against any sustained top control Nickal might build over three rounds.

Standing favors Garcia's rising volume, longer frame, and sharper range management, while the ground is where Lopes's finishing threat takes over. The crossed stances and 8 cm reach gap shape the striking exchanges, giving Garcia room to work from distance. Lopes's path runs through closing that space and dragging the fight to the mat, where his submission danger outweighs anything standing. Garcia's chin and defense raise the cost of every entry Lopes attempts.