← UFC Freedom 250
Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06-14
78.3%
Model
72.3%
Market
1.33
Odds
+6.0
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
Style Matchup
established · 8 UFC fightsestablished · 8 fights
STRIKING
P45
Striking Initiative
P27
P24
Volume
P17
P87
Striking Efficiency
P50
P74
Range Sniper
P51
P87
Kickboxing
P37
P45
Clinch Striking
P57
P72
Defensive Striking
P4
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P72
Wrestling
P64
P41
Pressure Wrestling
P93
P81
Top Control
P81
P81
Submission
P96
P62
Anti-Wrestling
P52
P94
Grappling Defense
P75
P31
Scrambler
P97
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P76
Power
P33
P87
Finisher
P88
P30
Damage Resistance
P10
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P89
Fast Starter
P88
P55
Pace
P78
P42
Late Fighter
P42
GLOBAL
P96
Versatility
P54
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
NickalDaukaus
3.34Landed / min3.07
2.15Absorbed / min3.36
61%Accuracy49%
60%Defense43%
0.65KD / 150.50
0.32KD abs / 150.99
Grappling / Wrestling
NickalDaukaus
2.26TD / 151.98
4.84TD att / 158.18
47%TD accuracy24%
100%TD defense77%
4:28Control / 156:26
1.61Sub att / 150.99
Targets
NickalDaukaus
Head61%|74%
Body21%|13%
Leg17%|13%
Position
NickalDaukaus
Distance84%|71%
Clinch8%|11%
Ground8%|18%
Ranking evolution Nickal Daukaus
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Bo Nickal
Bo Nickal works behind sharp distance management and a stingy stand-up defense, backed by a chin that holds up when he's touched. He defends takedowns well enough to dictate where the fight happens, and he carries finishing ability. He's 5-1 in the UFC, 8-1 overall, with his lone loss coming to the No. 18-ranked opponent.
Kyle Daukaus
Kyle Daukaus brings a live submission game and a knack for escaping bottom control to work back to his feet, so he's rarely stuck there for long. His striking output has been climbing lately. He rides a six-fight win streak and owns a deep 17-4 record across all organizations, though his UFC ledger sits at 4-4.
Matchup Read
Early, Nickal's distance control and durability set the terms on the feet, where his finishing threat lives. As rounds pass, Daukaus's path runs through grappling: if he can drag this down, his submission threat becomes the central danger. The tension is Nickal's takedown defense against that pull to the mat, and Daukaus's ability to scramble up cuts against any sustained top control Nickal might build over three rounds.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Nickal keeps the fight at his range and avoids Daukaus's rising volume.
- Grappling: if it hits the mat, watch whether Daukaus hunts a submission or scrambles back to his feet.
- Late rounds: whether Nickal's takedown defense holds up as Daukaus presses to get it down over three rounds.