← UFC Freedom 250
Derrick Lewis vs Josh Hokit
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06-14
55.5%
Model
25.3%
Market
3.81
Odds
+30.2
Edge (pp)
established · 31 UFC fightsestablished · 31 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
P5
Striking Initiative
P94
P15
Volume
P88
P32
Striking Efficiency
P99
P54
Range Sniper
P94
P3
Kickboxing
P76
P81
Clinch Striking
P86
P4
Defensive Striking
P12
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P10
Wrestling
P31
P14
Pressure Wrestling
P14
P11
Top Control
P62
P5
Submission
P30
P12
Anti-Wrestling
P35
P6
Grappling Defense
P63
P80
Scrambler
P31
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P92
Power
P90
P94
Finisher
P82
P22
Damage Resistance
P67
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P27
Fast Starter
P51
P6
Pace
P79
P53
Late Fighter
P35
GLOBAL
P0
Versatility
P63
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
LewisHokit
2.46Landed / min10.66
2.57Absorbed / min8.46
50%Accuracy61%
40%Defense44%
0.60KD / 151.43
0.27KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
LewisHokit
0.55TD / 150.72
2.08TD att / 152.15
26%TD accuracy33%
52%TD defense75%
1:41Control / 153:11
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
LewisHokit
Head79%|91%
Body17%|9%
Leg4%|0%
Position
LewisHokit
Distance40%|76%
Clinch18%|18%
Ground42%|5%
Ranking evolution Lewis Hokit
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Derrick Lewis
Derrick Lewis brings a tested heavyweight résumé, a UFC record of 20-11 and 3 wins in his last 5. His game leans on a durable chin and the ability to manage range behind a 15 cm reach advantage. His last loss came against the No. 9-ranked opponent, with his most recent win over lower-ranked opposition.
Josh Hokit
Josh Hokit arrives undefeated at 9-0 overall and 3-0 in the UFC, riding a 9-fight win streak and coming off a win over the No. 6-ranked opponent. He pushes a high-pressure, high-volume striking attack, carries real finishing threat on the ground, and has shown a durable chin recently.
Matchup Read
Lewis brings the deeper track record, but Hokit owns the sharper matchup-specific tools. The fight hinges on where it lives: Lewis wants to use his reach to keep Hokit at the end of punches and lean on his chin if exchanges get heavy. Hokit's volume and pressure are built to close that gap, and if he drags it to the mat his finishing threat becomes the central danger. Across three rounds, range control versus forward pressure decides it.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Lewis can plant Hokit at distance with his reach or gets walked down and crowded.
- Grappling: if the fight hits the mat, watch how quickly Hokit threatens the finish versus Lewis working back up.
- Durability: how both chins hold up if the exchanges turn into a firefight in the pocket.