← UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Curtis Blaydes vs Josh Hokit
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04-11
70.8%
Model
55.9%
Market
1.72
Odds
+14.9
Edge (pp)
established · 19 UFC fightsestablished · 19 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P40
Striking Initiative
P76
P16
Volume
P46
P25
Striking Efficiency
P67
P6
Range Sniper
P43
P12
Kickboxing
P10
P83
Clinch Striking
P77
P43
Defensive Striking
P50
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P99
Wrestling
P62
P95
Pressure Wrestling
P99
P98
Top Control
P100
P4
Submission
P28
P54
Anti-Wrestling
P46
P15
Grappling Defense
P60
P31
Scrambler
P35
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P61
Power
P99
P50
Finisher
P80
P9
Damage Resistance
P40
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P48
Fast Starter
P70
P96
Pace
P100
P53
Late Fighter
—
GLOBAL
P63
Versatility
P65
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
BlaydesHokit
3.54Landed / min7.77
2.06Absorbed / min0.51
50%Accuracy62%
59%Defense79%
0.17KD / 155.07
0.43KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
BlaydesHokit
4.87TD / 152.54
10.52TD att / 155.07
46%TD accuracy50%
32%TD defense100%
7:00Control / 159:56
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
BlaydesHokit
Head70%|87%
Body12%|13%
Leg19%|0%
Position
BlaydesHokit
Distance50%|52%
Clinch14%|22%
Ground36%|26%
Ranking evolution Blaydes Hokit
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Curtis Blaydes
Curtis Blaydes brings a long UFC résumé at 14-5 (19-5 overall), riding a one-fight win streak after dropping his last bout to the No. 2-ranked opponent. He owns a sizable physical advantage here, carrying 18 cm of reach and 8 cm of height into the matchup.
Josh Hokit
Josh Hokit arrives undefeated at 8-0, 2-0 in the UFC, on an eight-fight win streak. The matchup favors his striking output and pressure, his distance control and stand-up defense, and his durability. He can defend takedowns to keep things upright and carries real finishing threat both on the mat and overall.
Matchup Read
Blaydes carries the far deeper résumé and the longer frame, but the matchup-specific tools lean toward Hokit. If Hokit's takedown defense holds and keeps this standing, his volume, pressure and distance work become the deciding factors, and his finishing threat raises the stakes in every phase. Blaydes' reach gives him room to fight at range, but turning that length into control means getting past Hokit's defense and chin.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Hokit can stuff the level changes and force the fight to play out standing.
- Early striking: whether Blaydes uses his 18 cm reach to hold distance or gets drawn into Hokit's pressure.
- Finishing windows: how Blaydes handles the ground finishing threat if exchanges hit the mat.
Key Uncertainty
Hokit has only two UFC fights on record, so how his pressure, defense and finishing hold up against a veteran of Blaydes' level remains the main limit to reading this matchup.