← UFC Freedom 250
Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06-14
59.1%
Model
76.4%
Market
1.26
Odds
-17.2
Edge (pp)
established · 14 UFC fightsestablished · 14 fights
Style Matchup
established · 10 UFC fightsestablished · 10 fights
STRIKING
P99
Striking Initiative
P57
P99
Volume
P68
P100
Striking Efficiency
P79
P99
Range Sniper
P85
P100
Kickboxing
P72
P3
Clinch Striking
P6
P97
Defensive Striking
P99
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P15
Wrestling
P4
P12
Pressure Wrestling
P16
P2
Top Control
P39
P23
Submission
P23
P65
Anti-Wrestling
P96
P46
Grappling Defense
P96
P36
Scrambler
P36
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P83
Power
P54
P48
Finisher
P13
P86
Damage Resistance
P43
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P92
Fast Starter
P25
P20
Pace
P9
P78
Late Fighter
P96
GLOBAL
P83
Versatility
P68
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
O'MalleyZahabi
6.18Landed / min4.54
3.34Absorbed / min4.08
61%Accuracy48%
61%Defense69%
0.52KD / 150.37
0.00KD abs / 150.37
Grappling / Wrestling
O'MalleyZahabi
0.26TD / 150.12
0.61TD att / 150.87
43%TD accuracy14%
60%TD defense84%
0:11Control / 150:41
0.26Sub att / 150.00
Targets
O'MalleyZahabi
Head67%|72%
Body24%|17%
Leg9%|11%
Position
O'MalleyZahabi
Distance95%|90%
Clinch2%|4%
Ground3%|6%
Ranking evolution O'Malley Zahabi
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Sean O'Malley
O'Malley brings the longer, rangier frame with a 10 cm reach advantage, and he's the one more able to change levels and put this on the mat. His striking carries slightly more volume and forward pressure. Coming off a win over the No. 6-ranked opponent, with his last loss to the No. 1.
Aiemann Zahabi
Zahabi rides a seven-fight win streak and has gone 5/5 in his recent UFC run, his last win over the No. 11-ranked opponent. His striking output and ground control have both been trending upward, and his recent form shows no dip. He holds a slight edge in distance management and stand-up defense.
Matchup Read
Early, O'Malley's length and takedown threat shape the terms: he can work behind the reach or change levels to steal rounds. Zahabi's sharper distance management and stand-up defense are built to neutralize that range, and his rising output keeps him in exchanges. If O'Malley can't convert takedowns, Zahabi's volume becomes more relevant as the three rounds wear on.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether O'Malley can plant his jab and keep Zahabi outside his reach, or Zahabi closes the gap and trades inside.
- Grappling: how often O'Malley shoots and whether those level changes stick against Zahabi's improving control.
- Late rounds: whether Zahabi's output climbs as the fight stretches toward the third.