← UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Sean O'Malley vs Song Yadong
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01-24
62.0%
Model
64.8%
Market
1.49
Odds
-2.7
Edge (pp)
established · 13 UFC fightsestablished · 13 fights
Style Matchup
established · 14 UFC fightsestablished · 14 fights
STRIKING
P99
Striking Initiative
P83
P99
Volume
P80
P100
Striking Efficiency
P57
P99
Range Sniper
P66
P100
Kickboxing
P68
P4
Clinch Striking
P22
P97
Defensive Striking
P58
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P16
Wrestling
P23
P14
Pressure Wrestling
P47
P3
Top Control
P60
P24
Submission
P42
P64
Anti-Wrestling
P83
P47
Grappling Defense
P91
P37
Scrambler
P40
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P86
Power
P66
P56
Finisher
P19
P83
Damage Resistance
P98
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P94
Fast Starter
P45
P21
Pace
P56
P76
Late Fighter
P97
GLOBAL
P83
Versatility
P67
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
O'MalleyYadong
6.47Landed / min4.79
3.43Absorbed / min4.11
61%Accuracy45%
61%Defense56%
0.57KD / 150.58
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
O'MalleyYadong
0.29TD / 150.66
0.67TD att / 151.74
43%TD accuracy38%
60%TD defense78%
0:12Control / 152:11
0.29Sub att / 150.17
Targets
O'MalleyYadong
Head68%|63%
Body23%|20%
Leg9%|17%
Position
O'MalleyYadong
Distance94%|85%
Clinch2%|6%
Ground4%|9%
Ranking evolution O'Malley Yadong
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Sean O'Malley
Sean O'Malley carries real finishing power, the kind that ends fights before the judges get involved, and he backs it with a slight edge in striking volume and pressure. His 13 cm reach advantage and taller frame give him room to work at range. He also holds a modest takedown threat and a quality recent win over the No. 5-ranked opponent.
Song Yadong
Song Yadong's striking output has been climbing recently, adding to a steady, pressuring pace on the feet. His recent form has held stable without decline. He owns an 11-3 UFC record and a 22-9 mark across all organizations, with his last win coming against the No. 8-ranked opponent.
Matchup Read
O'Malley owns the early finishing danger, while Song's rising volume grows in value the longer exchanges continue. The central question is range: O'Malley's reach and height let him fight from distance, and if he keeps Song at the end of his strikes, the power threat stays live. Song's job is closing that gap and turning it into sustained pressure. O'Malley's takedown option adds a second layer if the striding-through phase gets dangerous.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether O'Malley keeps Song pinned at range or Song walks through the reach to work inside.
- Volume: whether Song can stack strikes and raise the pace as rounds accumulate.
- Grappling: whether O'Malley uses level changes to break Song's rhythm when the pocket heats up.