FIGHTintelligence
UFC predictions & fighter analytics
← UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje

Charles Oliveira vs Justin Gaethje

59.2%
Model
59.5%
Market
1.62
Odds
-0.3
Edge (pp)
Submission
established · 28 UFC fightsestablished · 28 fights
Style Matchup
Kickboxing
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
STRIKING
P40
Striking Initiative
P87
P28
Volume
P82
P73
Striking Efficiency
P100
P52
Range Sniper
P99
P53
Kickboxing
P100
P86
Clinch Striking
P47
P20
Defensive Striking
P46
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P84
Wrestling
P2
P69
Pressure Wrestling
P9
P57
Top Control
P47
P99
Submission
P7
P34
Anti-Wrestling
P55
P20
Grappling Defense
P64
P94
Scrambler
P3
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P46
Power
P89
P99
Finisher
P89
P56
Damage Resistance
P68
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P92
Fast Starter
P84
P64
Pace
P13
P37
Late Fighter
P25
GLOBAL
P81
Versatility
P69
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
OliveiraGaethje
3.40Landed / min7.50
3.17Absorbed / min7.81
53%Accuracy60%
53%Defense56%
0.38KD / 150.65
0.23KD abs / 150.16
Grappling / Wrestling
OliveiraGaethje
2.51TD / 150.00
6.09TD att / 150.16
41%TD accuracy0%
54%TD defense74%
4:15Control / 150:39
2.66Sub att / 150.00
Targets
OliveiraGaethje
Head57%|61%
Body27%|8%
Leg16%|31%
Position
OliveiraGaethje
Distance59%|88%
Clinch19%|11%
Ground22%|2%
Ranking evolution Oliveira Gaethje