← UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
JunYong Park vs Ikram Aliskerov
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10-25
64.9%
Model
29.8%
Market
3.22
Odds
+35.0
Edge (pp)
established · 12 UFC fightsestablished · 12 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 4 UFC fightsprovisional · 4 fights
STRIKING
P86
Striking Initiative
P98
P69
Volume
P91
P91
Striking Efficiency
P96
P55
Range Sniper
P95
P77
Kickboxing
P84
P28
Clinch Striking
P26
P41
Defensive Striking
P13
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P68
Wrestling
P10
P78
Pressure Wrestling
P0
P80
Top Control
P59
P67
Submission
P44
P58
Anti-Wrestling
P60
P48
Grappling Defense
P77
P80
Scrambler
P31
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P18
Power
P93
P19
Finisher
P56
P82
Damage Resistance
P27
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P42
Fast Starter
P68
P90
Pace
P40
P22
Late Fighter
—
GLOBAL
P93
Versatility
P54
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ParkAliskerov
4.59Landed / min8.64
3.59Absorbed / min5.36
51%Accuracy63%
54%Defense42%
0.10KD / 154.09
0.00KD abs / 151.36
Grappling / Wrestling
ParkAliskerov
1.87TD / 150.00
4.35TD att / 150.00
43%TD accuracy—
58%TD defense100%
4:55Control / 150:46
0.93Sub att / 150.00
Targets
ParkAliskerov
Head82%|65%
Body8%|24%
Leg10%|11%
Position
ParkAliskerov
Distance82%|79%
Clinch8%|2%
Ground10%|19%
Ranking evolution Park Aliskerov
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
JunYong Park
JunYong Park comes in on a two-fight run at 9-3 in the UFC and 19-6 overall, with 4 of his last 5 UFC wins banked. His recent durability stands out, absorbing shots without visible damage, and he's been tested against a higher tier of opposition, including a loss to a No. 21-ranked opponent.
Ikram Aliskerov
Ikram Aliskerov is 3-1 in the UFC and 16-2 overall, with his lone recent defeat coming against the No. 6-ranked opponent. He brings heavy striking volume and pressure, strong takedown defense to keep exchanges upright, and a consistent knack for finishing, with his defense trending upward lately.
Matchup Read
On the feet the fight favors Aliskerov's pressure and output, aided by 8 cm of reach and a southpaw look against Park's orthodox stance, which shifts the angles both must manage. Park's likeliest counter is to change levels and grind, but Aliskerov's takedown defense is built to keep it standing. If Park can't get it down, he's fighting where his opponent's finishing threat lives, though his recent durability gives him a route to drag this into deeper water.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Park can close the 8 cm reach gap and get inside Aliskerov's volume, or eats pressure at range.
- Grappling: how often Park shoots and whether Aliskerov's defense keeps the fight upright.
- Late rounds: if Park absorbs the early output and stays intact, whether his durability turns this into a grind.