← UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
Baisangur Susurkaev vs Eric McConico
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11-15
Baisangur SusurkaevLow Data
84.0%
Model
87.9%
Market
1.10
Odds
-3.9
Edge (pp)
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
STRIKING
P69
Striking Initiative
P3
P30
Volume
P7
P68
Striking Efficiency
P1
P17
Range Sniper
P3
P43
Kickboxing
P4
P45
Clinch Striking
P65
P50
Defensive Striking
P47
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P68
Wrestling
P21
P97
Pressure Wrestling
P18
P99
Top Control
P37
P54
Submission
P30
P44
Anti-Wrestling
P5
P54
Grappling Defense
P17
P37
Scrambler
P34
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P41
Power
P11
P68
Finisher
P35
P41
Damage Resistance
P22
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
—
Fast Starter
P1
P99
Pace
P1
—
Late Fighter
P75
GLOBAL
P57
Versatility
P4
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
SusurkaevMcConico
5.13Landed / min1.51
3.14Absorbed / min2.48
58%Accuracy36%
61%Defense52%
0.00KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 151.46
Grappling / Wrestling
SusurkaevMcConico
4.28TD / 150.00
14.96TD att / 150.00
29%TD accuracy—
100%TD defense57%
7:05Control / 152:20
2.14Sub att / 150.00
Targets
SusurkaevMcConico
Head64%|61%
Body19%|26%
Leg17%|13%
Position
SusurkaevMcConico
Distance61%|68%
Clinch6%|32%
Ground33%|0%
Ranking evolution Susurkaev McConico
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Baisangur Susurkaev
Susurkaev arrives unbeaten at 10-0, riding a 10-fight win streak and coming off a debut victory in the UFC. He brings pressure and volume on the feet, can force the fight to the mat when he wants and stuff it when he doesn't, and has been closing fights before the judges. His recent durability has held up.
Eric McConico
McConico sits at 10-3 overall and 1-1 in the UFC, snapping back with a recent win over lower-ranked opposition. His last defeat and last win both came against similar-level competition. At 11 years the older man here, he steps in on a comparable turnaround.
Matchup Read
Susurkaev's finishing threat carries the early danger, backed by his pressure and the ability to dictate where the fight happens: he can attack the takedown or keep it standing on his terms. McConico's recent stoppage exposure matters most against that finishing pressure. If he weathers the opening exchanges and drags this deeper, the picture opens up, but the burden is on him to survive Susurkaev's push early and blunt the volume.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Susurkaev's volume and pressure land clean or McConico can time the orthodox-southpaw exchanges and reset at range.
- Grappling: who dictates position, and whether McConico can keep the fight where he wants rather than where Susurkaev takes it.
- Late rounds: if McConico survives the early finishing threat, watch whether the fight settles and the pace evens out.
Key Uncertainty
With Susurkaev holding just one UFC fight and McConico only two, both men's ceilings against this level of opposition remain thinly tested, which limits how firmly the matchup can be read.