← UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
Benoit Saint Denis vs Beneil Dariush
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11-15
50.7%
Model
63.8%
Market
1.51
Odds
-13.1
Edge (pp)
established · 10 UFC fightsestablished · 10 fights
Style Matchup
established · 23 UFC fightsestablished · 23 fights
STRIKING
P68
Striking Initiative
P42
P40
Volume
P29
P69
Striking Efficiency
P40
P42
Range Sniper
P24
P49
Kickboxing
P41
P95
Clinch Striking
P63
P1
Defensive Striking
P47
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P94
Wrestling
P77
P93
Pressure Wrestling
P90
P89
Top Control
P97
P98
Submission
P77
P75
Anti-Wrestling
P85
P60
Grappling Defense
P89
P85
Scrambler
P72
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P62
Power
P41
P99
Finisher
P22
P63
Damage Resistance
P8
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P96
Fast Starter
P44
P99
Pace
P91
P41
Late Fighter
P27
GLOBAL
P75
Versatility
P90
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
DenisDariush
5.05Landed / min3.66
4.19Absorbed / min2.63
55%Accuracy49%
43%Defense57%
0.79KD / 150.44
0.20KD abs / 150.51
Grappling / Wrestling
DenisDariush
4.35TD / 152.27
11.46TD att / 155.93
38%TD accuracy38%
71%TD defense81%
6:51Control / 156:16
1.58Sub att / 150.88
Targets
DenisDariush
Head57%|59%
Body30%|24%
Leg14%|17%
Position
DenisDariush
Distance58%|68%
Clinch20%|16%
Ground22%|17%
Ranking evolution Denis Dariush
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Benoit Saint Denis
Benoit Saint Denis carries real finishing danger, dangerous off submissions on the ground and capable of ending fights before the judges get involved. He's shown the scrambling to work back to his feet from bottom position, his defense has been trending upward lately, and he brings steady pressure and output on the feet. Riding a two-fight win streak.
Beneil Dariush
Beneil Dariush's résumé stands out for the quality of opposition he's handled, most recently beating the No. 9-ranked opponent. On the feet, his sharper distance control and stand-up defense are his cleaner tools in this matchup. His 17-6 UFC ledger reflects long exposure to the top of the division.
Matchup Read
On the feet, Saint Denis's pressure and volume run into Dariush's tighter range control and defensive stand-up, so how well Dariush manages distance decides whether he keeps it clean. The larger question is the ground: Saint Denis's submission threat and his ability to scramble back up make grappling exchanges risky territory, and Dariush's tested experience against elite names is what he leans on to weather that danger over the fight.
What to Watch
- Striking exchanges: whether Dariush keeps range and lands clean, or Saint Denis closes distance and forces sustained pressure.
- Ground scrambles: if the fight hits the mat, watch whether Saint Denis threatens submissions or scrambles back to his feet.
- Late rounds: whether Saint Denis's finishing pace holds up or Dariush's experience against top opposition steadies the fight.