← UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
Matheus Camilo vs Viacheslav Borshchev
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11-15
Matheus CamiloLow Data
63.0%
Model
60.8%
Market
1.59
Odds
+2.1
Edge (pp)
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P9
Striking Initiative
P56
P7
Volume
P66
P34
Striking Efficiency
P96
P13
Range Sniper
P98
P65
Kickboxing
P100
P46
Clinch Striking
P17
P50
Defensive Striking
P77
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P65
Wrestling
P3
P63
Pressure Wrestling
P4
P62
Top Control
P5
P44
Submission
P6
P13
Anti-Wrestling
P15
P16
Grappling Defense
P3
P36
Scrambler
P50
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P16
Power
P88
P38
Finisher
P62
P40
Damage Resistance
P77
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P47
Fast Starter
P38
P34
Pace
P3
—
Late Fighter
P26
GLOBAL
P30
Versatility
P7
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
CamiloBorshchev
1.49Landed / min4.26
1.38Absorbed / min4.36
48%Accuracy51%
56%Defense58%
0.00KD / 150.75
0.00KD abs / 150.19
Grappling / Wrestling
CamiloBorshchev
3.44TD / 150.00
5.16TD att / 150.19
67%TD accuracy0%
—TD defense43%
4:18Control / 150:52
1.72Sub att / 150.19
Targets
CamiloBorshchev
Head46%|45%
Body31%|27%
Leg23%|28%
Position
CamiloBorshchev
Distance92%|88%
Clinch0%|6%
Ground8%|6%
Ranking evolution Camilo Borshchev
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Matheus Camilo
Matheus Camilo's strength lives on the mat: he can change levels to force the fight to the ground and hold strong top position once there. He shows solid work managing range and defending on the feet, and has not been on the wrong end of a recent finish. His all-org record sits at 9-3.
Viacheslav Borshchev
Viacheslav Borshchev brings the busier hands, leaning on volume and forward pressure in the stand-up, with his striking output trending upward recently. His UFC ledger reads 3-5, with two wins across his last five, and he carries the striking phase as the fight stays on the feet.
Matchup Read
The striking phase belongs to Borshchev's pressure and output, while the mat swings hard the other way, where Camilo's level changes and top control take over. That tension defines the fight: if Camilo closes distance and grounds him, he can dictate from top. If Borshchev keeps it standing behind his volume, he steers the exchanges. Camilo's range work and durability help him weather the striking long enough to shoot.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Camilo can complete his entries and pin Borshchev down, or gets stuffed and dragged back up.
- Early striking: if Borshchev's forward pressure and volume keep Camilo pinned at range before he can change levels.
- Late rounds: whether Camilo's top control accumulates or Borshchev's output stays high as the fight wears on.
Key Uncertainty
With only a single UFC appearance on Camilo's record, there's limited high-level footage to gauge how his grappling and range work translate against this level of opposition.