← UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
Michael Morales vs Sean Brady
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11-15
55.4%
Model
46.8%
Market
2.06
Odds
+8.6
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
Style Matchup
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
STRIKING
P99
Striking Initiative
P80
P98
Volume
P39
P92
Striking Efficiency
P82
P94
Range Sniper
P38
P65
Kickboxing
P76
P20
Clinch Striking
P28
P73
Defensive Striking
P72
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P11
Wrestling
P95
P17
Pressure Wrestling
P93
P8
Top Control
P99
P6
Submission
P72
P88
Anti-Wrestling
P95
P88
Grappling Defense
P96
P52
Scrambler
P79
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P99
Power
P14
P75
Finisher
P18
P75
Damage Resistance
P71
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P98
Fast Starter
P60
P55
Pace
P90
P25
Late Fighter
P3
GLOBAL
P37
Versatility
P100
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MoralesBrady
6.20Landed / min4.00
3.27Absorbed / min2.94
50%Accuracy56%
57%Defense59%
1.68KD / 150.12
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
MoralesBrady
0.28TD / 153.62
1.12TD att / 156.66
25%TD accuracy54%
88%TD defense87%
0:55Control / 156:43
0.00Sub att / 150.93
Targets
MoralesBrady
Head79%|68%
Body7%|8%
Leg14%|24%
Position
MoralesBrady
Distance76%|81%
Clinch7%|5%
Ground17%|14%
Ranking evolution Morales Brady
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Michael Morales
Michael Morales arrives unbeaten at 18-0, 6-0 in the UFC with all five of his last five wins, the most recent over the No. 9-ranked opponent. He carries real finishing power and pushes forward with rising striking volume, backed by an 18 cm reach advantage. His pressure and output have been trending upward.
Sean Brady
Sean Brady sits at 18-1, 8-1 in the UFC and 4-of-5 in his last five, riding a three-fight streak capped by a win over the No. 2-ranked opponent. His strengths live on the mat: strong top control once he lands the takedown and a genuine finishing threat from top position. His defensive work has been improving lately.
Matchup Read
The early rounds favor Morales, who owns the finishing power and the length to fight at range, while Brady's value grows the longer the fight stays grounded. The decisive question is whose game dictates the floor of the fight: if Brady closes distance and drags it down, his top control and submission threat come into play. Morales needs to keep it standing behind his reach and forward pressure to make his power the story.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Morales uses his 18 cm reach edge to keep Brady at range and load up his power shots.
- Grappling: how often Brady changes levels and whether he can convert entries into sustained top control.
- Late rounds: if the fight hits the mat, watch whether Brady works toward a finish or Morales scrambles the position back to the feet.