← UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Ateba Gautier vs Andrey Pulyaev
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01-24
75.5%
Model
86.9%
Market
1.11
Odds
-11.4
Edge (pp)
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
STRIKING
P100
Striking Initiative
P2
P100
Volume
P2
P99
Striking Efficiency
P44
P98
Range Sniper
P68
P89
Kickboxing
P46
P71
Clinch Striking
P80
P47
Defensive Striking
P28
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P61
Wrestling
P16
P8
Pressure Wrestling
P37
P15
Top Control
P8
P2
Submission
P16
P55
Anti-Wrestling
P1
P71
Grappling Defense
P5
P33
Scrambler
P34
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P100
Power
P93
P81
Finisher
P68
P45
Damage Resistance
P52
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P75
Fast Starter
P3
P60
Pace
P1
—
Late Fighter
P14
GLOBAL
P63
Versatility
P7
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
GautierPulyaev
8.30Landed / min1.91
2.98Absorbed / min3.86
54%Accuracy48%
51%Defense49%
7.05KD / 150.70
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
GautierPulyaev
2.35TD / 150.00
2.35TD att / 152.79
100%TD accuracy0%
100%TD defense56%
0:12Control / 151:17
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
GautierPulyaev
Head83%|56%
Body15%|37%
Leg2%|7%
Position
GautierPulyaev
Distance81%|63%
Clinch13%|32%
Ground6%|5%
Ranking evolution Gautier Pulyaev
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Ateba Gautier
Ateba Gautier arrives on an eight-fight win streak and a perfect 3-0 in the UFC, 9-1 across all organizations. He pressures behind volume and manages range well, backing it with the frame to enforce it. He can change levels to get the fight down or stuff takedowns to keep it standing, and he absorbs damage well with real finishing threat.
Andrey Pulyaev
Andrey Pulyaev sits at 1-1 in the UFC and 10-3 overall, coming off a single-fight win over modest regional opposition. A southpaw, his last defeat came against lower-ranked opposition. His UFC sample remains thin, leaving limited to work with at this level.
Matchup Read
Gautier brings the cleaner recent résumé and the more complete matchup toolkit. The fight likely lives on the feet, where his pressure, range control and 8 cm of reach let him work behind a longer frame against the southpaw. If Pulyaev looks to change levels, Gautier's takedown defense keeps it standing, and his own level changes give him the option to grind on top. His durability lets him wade into exchanges.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Gautier can plant his jab and volume across the reach gap while Pulyaev works his southpaw angles.
- Grappling: if Pulyaev shoots, watch whether Gautier stuffs it and returns to range or turns the exchange into top control.
- Late rounds: whether Gautier's pressure compounds as the fight wears on or Pulyaev finds openings to reset.
Key Uncertainty
With only two UFC fights on Pulyaev's record, there's limited high-level footage to gauge how he holds up against Gautier's pressure and pace at this level.